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Financial/Macro · Score Gold

US Macro Economic Health Score

How healthy is the US macro economy right now?

Refresh
monthly
History
10.2 yrs
Plan
Gold
47.7/ 100
Stable

United States

2016-05-01 10.2 yrs · 124 pts 2026-06-27

Top drivers

inflationinterest_rates
⌁ mcp.call("adw-002") vADW-002-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

A macro-aware asset-allocation agent checks ADW-002 on each monthly FRED data release and compares the health_score to its 38th-percentile current standing (score 47.7, 10-year range 28.0-63.7). When the score is below the 40th percentile AND the inflation_pressure sub-component is rising, the agent shifts a model portfolio's bond duration shorter and increases TIPS allocation — decisions that would otherwise require a multi-day analyst pull of raw CPI, unemployment, and GDP data from separate FRED series. The methodology_version field ensures the agent can detect if the Z-score normalization window changes and pause for human review.

📈

For the business

A CFO of a mid-market manufacturer uses the monthly ADW-002 health_score to gate capital expenditure timing. When growth_momentum is negative and labor_market_status shows deterioration — both legible from a single API call versus assembling BLS, BEA, and FRED reports manually — the CFO can delay a planned equipment purchase by a quarter with a clear data-backed justification for the board, replacing a qualitative 'macro feels soft' judgment with a scored, source-traceable signal.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
Track current US macro conditions; coincident indicator, not a forecast.
Methodology

How it's built

Z-score CPI/Unemployment/GDP; 1-(Inflation+Labor-Growth)

FREDBLSBEA

Version ADW-002-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: Trading Economics (forecasts, paid)