United States — consumers (national)
Top drivers
⌁ mcp.call("adw-017") vADW-017-live-1.0 Enables retailers and brands to time promotions and optimize assortment by quantifying the financial pressure on consumers' discretionary spending.
United States — consumers (national)
Top drivers
⌁ mcp.call("adw-017") vADW-017-live-1.0 A retail pricing agent ingests ADW-017 on each monthly refresh and compares squeeze_score to its 36-month percentile: when the score drops below 45 (as it sits now at 46.2, the 35th percentile and falling), the agent interprets that as a moderating squeeze environment and automatically raises the price-promotion threshold in the campaign-planning system, reducing planned promotional depth by 5-10 percentage points to protect margin. When squeeze rises above 60 (the historical 70th-plus percentile that the index has reached at its max of 100), the agent reverses course and queues deeper value-messaging creative. The real_wage_gap_pct field in the IOM gives the agent a quantified gap — not just a direction — enabling proportional, not binary, adjustments.
A VP of Merchandising at a national apparel chain uses ADW-017 alongside internal sales data to time seasonal markdown decisions. In periods when Core CPI YoY outpaces Wage Growth YoY — the exact divergence the index measures — the historical record shows squeeze scores reaching as high as 100 out of 100, signaling that consumers are under maximum financial pressure. Rather than relying on post-hoc sell-through data (which lags 4-6 weeks), the merchandising team uses the monthly IOM to pre-position inventory liquidity decisions 30 days earlier, avoiding the costly late-markdown trap that historically destroys 8-12 points of gross margin in stressed quarters.
YoY Core CPI vs YoY Avg Hourly Earnings divergence; z-score vs 36mo trailing window → 0-100 (50=neutral, >50=squeeze rising)
Version ADW-017-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: none
One call returns the answer with its reasoning attached — the live Intelligence Object for ADW-017.
{
"product_id": "ADW-017",
"entity": "United States — consumers (national)",
"score": 46.2,
"trend": "stable",
"confidence": 0.87,
"top_drivers": [
{
"factor": "core_cpi_yoy_pct",
"contribution": 2.96
},
{
"factor": "wage_growth_yoy_pct",
"contribution": 3.45
},
{
"factor": "raw_squeeze_gap_pct",
"contribution": 0
}
],
"recommended_use": "Time promotions and assortment shifts; high score = consumers under pressure, trade-down risk elevated. Descriptive, monthly lag applies.",
"methodology_version": "ADW-017-live-1.0",
"freshness": "2026-06-27T05:00:17.149Z",
"coverage": "US national (FRED CPILFESL + CES0500000003)",
"source_lineage": [
"FRED CPILFESL (Core CPI)",
"FRED CES0500000003 (Avg Hourly Earnings)"
],
"allowed_use": "informational",
"squeeze_score": 46.2,
"squeeze_level": "moderate",
"core_cpi_yoy_pct": 2.96,
"wage_growth_yoy_pct": 3.45,
"real_wage_gap_pct": -0.49,
"validation_status": "descriptive"
} Every product conforms to the Intelligence Object Model — typed, versioned, and discoverable.
Dashboard
Read the score + drivers in the console.
REST API
/v1/intelligence/adw-017
MCP tool
adw.adw_017
Marketplace
Discoverable by any MCP agent via the MCP registry.
White-label
Embed under your own brand (Platinum).
How stressed is US consumer credit right now — rising delinquencies or credit binging?
Method: z_delinq (0.6) + z_revolving_yoy (0.4); both z-scored vs trailing 36-period window → composite z → 0-100 (50=neutral, >50=stress rising)
Enables brands to distinguish whether their pricing power stems from emotional aspiration or functional utility to identify and mitigate pricing fragility.
Method: Apparel CPI YoY minus Core CPI YoY spread; z-scored vs 5yr history; mapped 0-100 (50=parity, >50=aspiration premium rising)
Quantifies divergence between actual gasoline price moves and consumer sentiment to flag political risk and demand-destruction scenarios.
Method: MoM gas CPI % vs MoM UMich sentiment (scaled); |divergence| z-scored vs 36mo history; score 100=aligned, 0=extreme gap