US consumers — gas price vs sentiment
Top drivers
⌁ mcp.call("adw-026") vADW-026-live-1.0 Quantifies divergence between actual gasoline price moves and consumer sentiment to flag political risk and demand-destruction scenarios.
US consumers — gas price vs sentiment
Top drivers
⌁ mcp.call("adw-026") vADW-026-live-1.0 A political-risk and demand-forecasting agent polls ADW-026 monthly and flags a 'perception gap widening' alert when the score drops below 75 (score of 100 = aligned, lower = wider divergence). At the current reading of 69.0 — the 10th percentile of its 36-month history, meaning gas price moves and consumer sentiment are more misaligned than 90% of prior months — the agent automatically elevates political sensitivity flags in any retail or CPG workflow that touches fuel-dependent categories, and posts a demand-destruction warning to the forecasting system. The IOM's divergence_z_score field tells the agent the direction of the gap (gas prices rising faster than sentiment has adjusted, or vice versa), enabling it to distinguish between a consumer-overreaction scenario and a genuine demand-destruction signal.
A Senior Economist at a fuel retail chain uses ADW-026 to anticipate demand-destruction episodes before they appear in weekly sales data. When gasoline CPI moves up sharply but UMich consumer sentiment has not yet adjusted downward — a lag gap the divergence_z_score captures precisely — historical episodes suggest consumers shift driving behavior within 4-6 weeks. The economist uses the low current alignment score (69.0, 10th percentile) to brief the pricing and inventory team that a demand correction is likely, allowing them to pre-position inventory and promotional response plans rather than reacting after the volume drop is already visible in point-of-sale data.
MoM gas CPI % vs MoM UMich sentiment (scaled); |divergence| z-scored vs 36mo history; score 100=aligned, 0=extreme gap
Version ADW-026-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: none
One call returns the answer with its reasoning attached — the live Intelligence Object for ADW-026.
{
"product_id": "ADW-026",
"entity": "US consumers — gas price vs sentiment",
"score": 70.1,
"trend": "moderate-lag",
"confidence": 0.8,
"top_drivers": [
{
"factor": "gas_price_mom_pct",
"contribution": 7.04
},
{
"factor": "sentiment_mom_point",
"contribution": -5
},
{
"factor": "divergence_z_score",
"contribution": 1.497
}
],
"recommended_use": "Flag perception vs reality gaps for energy policy and consumer confidence research. Low score = high political/demand risk. Monthly lag applies.",
"methodology_version": "ADW-026-live-1.0",
"freshness": "2026-06-27T05:00:17.017Z",
"coverage": "US national (FRED CUSR0000SETB01 + UMCSENT)",
"source_lineage": [
"FRED CUSR0000SETB01 (Gasoline CPI)",
"FRED UMCSENT (UMich Sentiment)"
],
"allowed_use": "informational",
"perception_gap_score": 70.1,
"alignment_label": "moderate-divergence",
"gasoline_cpi_latest": 378.66,
"gasoline_cpi_mom_pct": 7.04,
"umich_sentiment_latest": 44.8,
"umich_sentiment_mom_point": -5,
"divergence_z_score": 1.497,
"validation_status": "descriptive"
} Every product conforms to the Intelligence Object Model — typed, versioned, and discoverable.
Dashboard
Read the score + drivers in the console.
REST API
/v1/intelligence/adw-026
MCP tool
adw.adw_026
Marketplace
Discoverable by any MCP agent via the MCP registry.
White-label
Embed under your own brand (Platinum).
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