US freight & logistics markets
Top drivers
⌁ mcp.call("adw-038") vADW-038-live-1.0 How much pressure are freight and diesel costs placing on supply chains and margins right now?
US freight & logistics markets
Top drivers
⌁ mcp.call("adw-038") vADW-038-live-1.0 A supply-chain cost monitoring agent polls ADW-038 monthly and triggers a margin-risk alert when the freight_cost_score rises above 60 (the index's approximate 70th percentile) with a rising trend — the current reading of 57.6 at the 67th percentile and trending upward puts it just below the alert threshold, with the next month's read likely to determine whether an automated reorder-price negotiation workflow fires. When the alert triggers, the IOM's top_drivers field distinguishes between truck_freight_ppi_yoy_pct (the 55%-weight structural component) and diesel_4wk_change_pct (the 45%-weight near-term component), allowing the agent to route to either a carrier-contract renegotiation workflow (if PPI is leading) or a fuel-surcharge variance request (if diesel is leading). The source_lineage citing FRED PCU484121484121 and GASDESW ensures the agent's cost justification is grounded in publicly verifiable data rather than proprietary index estimates.
A VP of Supply Chain at a consumer goods manufacturer uses ADW-038 as a monthly check against the company's internal landed-cost models, which rely on contracted carrier rates and miss spot-market pressure. With the Freight & Logistics Cost Index up 20.8% over its 10-year baseline reading and now at the 67th percentile on a rising trend, the VP can quantify the macro tailwind driving logistics cost overruns before the quarterly P&L shows the damage — typically a 6-8 week lag. This early visibility enables the VP to propose a freight-surcharge pass-through to customers or accelerate near-shoring options while the cost spike is still early-cycle, rather than absorbing the full hit and renegotiating retroactively.
Truck Freight PPI YoY + Diesel 4-week % change; weighted z-scores (0.55/0.45) vs 36-period trailing window → 0-100
Version ADW-038-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: none
One call returns the answer with its reasoning attached — the live Intelligence Object for ADW-038.
{
"product_id": "ADW-038",
"entity": "US freight & logistics markets",
"score": 57.6,
"trend": "cost-rising",
"confidence": 0.82,
"top_drivers": [
{
"factor": "truck_freight_ppi_yoy_pct",
"contribution": 21.07
},
{
"factor": "diesel_4wk_chg_pct",
"contribution": -12.51
},
{
"factor": "composite_z",
"contribution": 0.761
}
],
"recommended_use": "Gauge freight-cost pressure on supply-chain margins. High score = elevated trucking and diesel costs; adjust logistics contracts and pricing. Descriptive, monthly lag for PPI.",
"methodology_version": "ADW-038-live-1.0",
"freshness": "2026-06-27T06:00:14.400Z",
"coverage": "US national (FRED PCU484121484121 + GASDESW)",
"source_lineage": [
"FRED PCU484121484121 (Truck Freight PPI)",
"FRED GASDESW (Diesel Retail Price)"
],
"allowed_use": "informational",
"freight_cost_score": 57.6,
"cost_level": "moderate",
"truck_freight_ppi_yoy_pct": 21.07,
"diesel_price_latest_usd": 4.832,
"diesel_4wk_change_pct": -12.51,
"freight_z": 2.443,
"diesel_z": -1.295,
"composite_z": 0.761,
"validation_status": "descriptive"
} Every product conforms to the Intelligence Object Model — typed, versioned, and discoverable.
Dashboard
Read the score + drivers in the console.
REST API
/v1/intelligence/adw-038
MCP tool
adw.adw_038
Marketplace
Discoverable by any MCP agent via the MCP registry.
White-label
Embed under your own brand (Platinum).