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Agriculture/Consumer · Index Paid

Food-Price Pressure Index

How much upward price pressure is the food supply chain exerting on consumers right now?

Refresh
monthly
History
10.2 yrs
Plan
Paid
59.0/ 100
Stable

US food markets (consumer + farm level)

2016-05-01 10.2 yrs · 124 pts 2026-06-27

Top drivers

food_cpi_yoy_pctfarm_ppi_yoy_pctcomposite_z
⌁ mcp.call("adw-044") vADW-044-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

A grocery-chain procurement agent ingests ADW-044 monthly; when the food_pressure_score rises above 60 (currently 59.0, 65th percentile across a range of 36.4 to 69.4 over 10 years) and the farm_ppi_z sub-driver is elevated, it automatically accelerates forward-contract negotiations for grain-linked SKUs, embeds the source_lineage (FRED CPIUFDSL + WPU012) in the purchase-order audit trail, and notifies the category manager only when the methodology_version-stamped signal persists for two consecutive months.

📈

For the business

A consumer staples CMO uses ADW-044's farm_ppi_yoy_pct alongside food_cpi_yoy_pct to distinguish whether shelf-price pressure is farm-led or retail-led before deciding on promotional depth; historically a manual task requiring BLS and USDA data reconciliation, the IOM's weighted composite (60% consumer, 40% farm) packages this logic as a single API call, letting the pricing team run scenario reviews weekly instead of quarterly.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
Monitor food-price pressure from farm to consumer. High score = elevated food inflation at both levels; adjust pricing and procurement strategies. Descriptive, monthly lag.
Methodology

How it's built

Food CPI YoY + Farm Products PPI YoY; weighted z-scores (0.6/0.4) vs 36mo trailing window → 0-100

FRED (CPIUFDSL, WPU012)

Version ADW-044-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: none

Live response

The object an agent receives

One call returns the answer with its reasoning attached — the live Intelligence Object for ADW-044.

GET /v1/intelligence/adw-044
{
  "product_id": "ADW-044",
  "entity": "US food markets (consumer + farm level)",
  "score": 59,
  "trend": "pressure-rising",
  "confidence": 0.84,
  "top_drivers": [
    {
      "factor": "food_cpi_yoy_pct",
      "contribution": 3.38
    },
    {
      "factor": "farm_ppi_yoy_pct",
      "contribution": 8.37
    },
    {
      "factor": "composite_z",
      "contribution": 0.903
    }
  ],
  "recommended_use": "Monitor food-price pressure from farm to consumer. High score = elevated food inflation at both levels; adjust pricing and procurement strategies. Descriptive, monthly lag.",
  "methodology_version": "ADW-044-live-1.0",
  "freshness": "2026-06-27T06:00:14.048Z",
  "coverage": "US national (FRED CPIUFDSL + WPU012)",
  "source_lineage": [
    "FRED CPIUFDSL (Food CPI)",
    "FRED WPU012 (Farm Products PPI)"
  ],
  "allowed_use": "informational",
  "food_pressure_score": 59,
  "pressure_level": "moderate",
  "food_cpi_yoy_pct": 3.38,
  "farm_ppi_yoy_pct": 8.37,
  "food_cpi_z": 0.333,
  "farm_ppi_z": 1.759,
  "composite_z": 0.903,
  "validation_status": "descriptive"
}
IOM schema

The agent-callable contract

Every product conforms to the Intelligence Object Model — typed, versioned, and discoverable.

  • product_id
  • entity
  • score
  • trend
  • confidence
  • top_drivers
  • prediction_horizon
  • recommended_use
  • methodology_version
  • freshness
  • coverage
  • source_lineage
  • allowed_use
MCP tool: adw.adw_044
Access options

Consume it your way

  • Dashboard

    Read the score + drivers in the console.

  • REST API

    /v1/intelligence/adw-044

  • MCP tool

    adw.adw_044

  • Marketplace

    Discoverable by any MCP agent via the MCP registry.

  • White-label

    Embed under your own brand (Platinum).

Plan requirement

Depth scales with the plan

  • Free Sample object — current score only
  • Gold Full drivers + history + confidence
  • Platinum White-label + bulk + SLA
Compare plans →

Call ADW-044 in one request.