59.0/ 100
Stable
US food markets (consumer + farm level)
2016-05-01 10.2 yrs · 124 pts 2026-06-27
Top drivers
food_cpi_yoy_pctfarm_ppi_yoy_pctcomposite_z
⌁ mcp.call("adw-044") vADW-044-live-1.0 ← All products
Agriculture/Consumer · Index Gold
Food-Price Pressure Index
How much upward price pressure is the food supply chain exerting on consumers right now?
- Refresh
- monthly
- History
- 10.2 yrs
- Plan
- Gold
Use cases
What it unlocks
⌁
For an agent
A grocery-chain procurement agent ingests ADW-044 monthly; when the food_pressure_score rises above 60 (currently 59.0, 65th percentile across a range of 36.4 to 69.4 over 10 years) and the farm_ppi_z sub-driver is elevated, it automatically accelerates forward-contract negotiations for grain-linked SKUs, embeds the source_lineage (FRED CPIUFDSL + WPU012) in the purchase-order audit trail, and notifies the category manager only when the methodology_version-stamped signal persists for two consecutive months.
📈
For the business
A consumer staples CMO uses ADW-044's farm_ppi_yoy_pct alongside food_cpi_yoy_pct to distinguish whether shelf-price pressure is farm-led or retail-led before deciding on promotional depth; historically a manual task requiring BLS and USDA data reconciliation, the IOM's weighted composite (60% consumer, 40% farm) packages this logic as a single API call, letting the pricing team run scenario reviews weekly instead of quarterly.
Forward outlook
Prediction
- Horizon
- —
- Recommended use
- Monitor food-price pressure from farm to consumer. High score = elevated food inflation at both levels; adjust pricing and procurement strategies. Descriptive, monthly lag.
Methodology
How it's built
Food CPI YoY + Farm Products PPI YoY; weighted z-scores (0.6/0.4) vs 36mo trailing window → 0-100
FRED (CPIUFDSL, WPU012)
Version ADW-044-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: none