48.2/ 100
Stable
US money supply (M2 stock + velocity)
2016-06-01 10.1 yrs · 124 pts 2026-06-27
Top drivers
m2_yoy_pctm2v_levelcomposite_z
⌁ mcp.call("adw-047") vADW-047-live-1.0 ← All products
Monetary/Macro · Index Paid
Money-Supply Momentum Index
Is M2 money supply growth above or below its historical trend, and how does velocity amplify or dampen that signal?
- Refresh
- monthly
- History
- 10.1 yrs
- Plan
- Paid
Use cases
What it unlocks
⌁
For an agent
A macro-strategy agent checks ADW-047 monthly; when the money_momentum_score drops below 45 (it has ranged from 36.4 to 58.9 across 123 observations; currently 48.2, 59th percentile, falling trend) and both m2_z and m2v_z are simultaneously contracting, it flags a monetary-tightening regime in the portfolio context engine, triggers rebalancing toward shorter-duration assets, and attaches the M2 YoY growth rate and velocity level from top_drivers for compliance documentation — methodology_version ensures the equal-weight composite formula is immutable across model versions.
📈
For the business
A chief investment officer uses ADW-047's monetary_impulse_label alongside the raw m2_yoy_pct and m2v_level fields to frame quarterly client letters on the liquidity cycle; the IOM condenses two separate FRED series (M2SL and M2V) and a 36-period z-score normalization into a single interpretable score, replacing an internal quant process that took half a day to update and was frequently delayed past the CIO's editorial deadline.
Forward outlook
Prediction
- Horizon
- —
- Recommended use
- Track monetary impulse. High score = M2 growing + velocity rising = inflationary pressure; low = contractionary. Descriptive, quarterly lag on velocity.
Methodology
How it's built
M2 52-week YoY z-score + M2V level z-score; equal-weight composite vs trailing 36-period window → 0-100
FRED (M2SL, M2V)
Version ADW-047-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: none
Live response
The object an agent receives
One call returns the answer with its reasoning attached — the live Intelligence Object for ADW-047.
GET /v1/intelligence/adw-047
{
"product_id": "ADW-047",
"entity": "US money supply (M2 stock + velocity)",
"score": 48.2,
"trend": "stable",
"confidence": 0.8,
"top_drivers": [
{
"factor": "m2_yoy_pct",
"contribution": 6.48
},
{
"factor": "m2v_level",
"contribution": 1.411
},
{
"factor": "composite_z",
"contribution": -0.176
}
],
"recommended_use": "Track monetary impulse. High score = M2 growing + velocity rising = inflationary pressure; low = contractionary. Descriptive, quarterly lag on velocity.",
"methodology_version": "ADW-047-live-1.0",
"freshness": "2026-06-27T06:00:14.520Z",
"coverage": "US national (FRED M2SL + M2V)",
"source_lineage": [
"FRED M2SL (M2 Money Stock)",
"FRED M2V (M2 Velocity)"
],
"allowed_use": "informational",
"money_momentum_score": 48.2,
"monetary_impulse_label": "neutral-to-contractionary",
"m2_yoy_pct": 6.48,
"m2v_level": 1.411,
"m2_z": -0.983,
"m2v_z": 0.63,
"composite_z": -0.176,
"validation_status": "descriptive"
} IOM schema
The agent-callable contract
Every product conforms to the Intelligence Object Model — typed, versioned, and discoverable.
- product_id
- entity
- score
- trend
- confidence
- top_drivers
- prediction_horizon
- recommended_use
- methodology_version
- freshness
- coverage
- source_lineage
- allowed_use
MCP tool: adw.adw_047
Access options
Consume it your way
-
Dashboard
Read the score + drivers in the console.
-
REST API
/v1/intelligence/adw-047
-
MCP tool
adw.adw_047
-
Marketplace
Discoverable by any MCP agent via the MCP registry.
-
White-label
Embed under your own brand (Platinum).
Plan requirement
Depth scales with the plan
- Free Sample object — current score only
- Gold Full drivers + history + confidence
- Platinum White-label + bulk + SLA