US money supply (M2 stock + velocity)
Top drivers
⌁ mcp.call("adw-047") vADW-047-live-1.0 Is M2 money supply growth above or below its historical trend, and how does velocity amplify or dampen that signal?
US money supply (M2 stock + velocity)
Top drivers
⌁ mcp.call("adw-047") vADW-047-live-1.0 A macro-strategy agent checks ADW-047 monthly; when the money_momentum_score drops below 45 (it has ranged from 36.4 to 58.9 across 123 observations; currently 48.2, 59th percentile, falling trend) and both m2_z and m2v_z are simultaneously contracting, it flags a monetary-tightening regime in the portfolio context engine, triggers rebalancing toward shorter-duration assets, and attaches the M2 YoY growth rate and velocity level from top_drivers for compliance documentation — methodology_version ensures the equal-weight composite formula is immutable across model versions.
A chief investment officer uses ADW-047's monetary_impulse_label alongside the raw m2_yoy_pct and m2v_level fields to frame quarterly client letters on the liquidity cycle; the IOM condenses two separate FRED series (M2SL and M2V) and a 36-period z-score normalization into a single interpretable score, replacing an internal quant process that took half a day to update and was frequently delayed past the CIO's editorial deadline.
M2 52-week YoY z-score + M2V level z-score; equal-weight composite vs trailing 36-period window → 0-100
Version ADW-047-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: none