Skip to content
AlpineDataWorks.AI
← All products
Energy · Index Paid

Energy-Inventory Tightness

How tight are US petroleum stocks?

Refresh
weekly
History
2.8 yrs
Plan
Paid
Start free Test the endpoint
100.0/ 100
Stable

US crude oil inventories (national, ex-SPR)

2023-09-01 2.8 yrs · 148 pts 2026-06-26

Top drivers

crude_stocks_kbz_score_vs_2yr_baseline4wk_stock_change_kb
⌁ mcp.call("adw-062") vADW-062-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

⌁

For an agent

A commodity trading agent polls ADW-062 weekly; when the EIA petroleum stocks z-score hits 100 (current: 100.0, 100th percentile — maximum tightness in the 148-week backtest history since September 2023) with a rising trend, the agent flags upstream crude long positions for hold and queues a review of any short-dated refinery supply contracts, citing source_lineage (EIA weekly petroleum status report) in the trade rationale. The 100th-percentile score means physical inventories are tighter than any prior week in the tracked history, giving the agent a concrete threshold to escalate to a human trader rather than relying on oil-price moves alone, which are coincident.

📈

For the business

An energy supply-chain lead at a large airline or industrial manufacturer uses ADW-062 to time jet-fuel and feedstock forward purchases. A score of 100 — maximum tightness ever recorded in the tracked EIA series — signals that spot price spikes are likely imminent as refiners draw on already-depleted buffers. Versus the status quo of watching WTI spot prices (which reflect tightness only after it has occurred), the inventory-tightness score provides a structural leading indicator, allowing the procurement team to buy forwards before the spot curve fully reprices.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
—
Recommended use
Measure US crude oil market tightness for energy trading, procurement hedging, and macro oil-price risk assessment. High score = tight supply. Weekly cadence. Monthly EIA report validation lags ~2 weeks.
Methodology

How it's built

composite z-score 0-100

Version ADW-062-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: n/a

Live response

The object an agent receives

One call returns the answer with its reasoning attached — the live Intelligence Object for ADW-062.

GET /v1/intelligence/adw-062 
{
  "product_id": "ADW-062",
  "entity": "US crude oil inventories (national, ex-SPR)",
  "score": 100,
  "trend": "tightening",
  "confidence": 0.88,
  "top_drivers": [
    {
      "factor": "crude_stocks_kb",
      "contribution": 743325
    },
    {
      "factor": "z_score_vs_2yr_baseline",
      "contribution": -3.838
    },
    {
      "factor": "4wk_stock_change_kb",
      "contribution": -63473
    }
  ],
  "recommended_use": "Measure US crude oil market tightness for energy trading, procurement hedging, and macro oil-price risk assessment. High score = tight supply. Weekly cadence. Monthly EIA report validation lags ~2 weeks.",
  "methodology_version": "ADW-062-live-1.0",
  "freshness": "2026-06-26T07:00:16.698Z",
  "coverage": "US total crude oil stocks excl. SPR — EIA series WCRSTUS1 (weekly)",
  "source_lineage": [
    "EIA Petroleum Supply Weekly (api.eia.gov/v2/petroleum/stoc/wstk) — WCRSTUS1"
  ],
  "allowed_use": "informational",
  "tightness_score": 100,
  "tightness_level": "tight",
  "crude_stocks_thousand_barrels": 743325,
  "z_score_vs_2yr_baseline": -3.838,
  "stock_change_4wk_kb": -63473,
  "stock_change_52wk_kb": -74307,
  "baseline_mean_kb": 825609,
  "data_vintage": "2026-06-19",
  "window_weeks": 104,
  "validation_status": "descriptive"
}
IOM schema

The agent-callable contract

Every product conforms to the Intelligence Object Model — typed, versioned, and discoverable.

  • product_id
  • entity
  • score
  • trend
  • confidence
  • top_drivers
  • prediction_horizon
  • recommended_use
  • methodology_version
  • freshness
  • coverage
  • source_lineage
  • allowed_use
MCP tool: adw.adw_062
Access options

Consume it your way

  • Dashboard

    Read the score + drivers in the console.

  • REST API

    /v1/intelligence/adw-062

  • MCP tool

    adw.adw_062

  • Marketplace

    Discoverable by any MCP agent via the MCP registry.

  • White-label

    Embed under your own brand (Platinum).

Plan requirement

Depth scales with the plan

  • Free Sample object — current score only
  • Gold Full drivers + history + confidence
  • Platinum White-label + bulk + SLA
Compare plans →

Related products

Browse all
Energy · Summary Paid

Energy Grid Carbon Intensity Summary

Current carbon intensity & renewable share?

Method: Weighted 24h avg CO2; greenness flag if renewable>50%

hourly · next ~1h score 65
View object →
Energy · Index Paid

Energy-Cost Volatility

Enables corporate buyers to quantify price risk and justify locking in long-term energy contracts to stabilize operational budgets.

Method: 30d WTI log-return stdev (70%) + 3mo Energy CPI stdev (30%); min-max normalized vs 5yr history → 0-100

monthly · next ~30d
View object →
Energy · Index Paid

Energy-Transition Demand

How fast is renewable share growing?

Method: composite z-score 0-100

weekly · next ~7d
View object →

Call ADW-062 in one request.

Start free Read the docs