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Travel/Transport · Index Gold

Air-Travel Recovery Index

How recovered is US air travel vs its prior-year baseline?

Refresh
weekly
History
7.3 yrs
Plan
Gold
82.2/ 100
Stable

United States — air travel (TSA checkpoint)

2019-03-03 7.3 yrs · 386 pts 2026-06-27

Top drivers

current_30d_mean_travelersbaseline_365d_mean_travelersrecovery_ratio
⌁ mcp.call("adw-067") vADW-067-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

A revenue-management agent for a hospitality or airport-adjacent retail chain pulls ADW-067 weekly; when recovery_ratio sustains above 0.95 (mapped to a score above 80 — current: 82.2, 100th percentile in the 3-week backtest window, flat trend) and confidence exceeds 0.8, it automatically unlocks full dynamic-pricing mode and removes recession-era promotional discounts from the rate card, with source_lineage (TSA checkpoint volumes, tsa.gov keyless) confirming this is observed passenger throughput, not survey sentiment. The 30-day-mean-to-365-day-baseline methodology means the agent is comparing apples to apples across seasonality.

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For the business

An airline CFO uses ADW-067 to benchmark whether current TSA throughput — at an 82.2 score representing the 30-day mean running at or above the prior-year baseline — justifies adding back capacity removed during softer demand periods. The competitive status quo is using internal load-factor data, which is carrier-specific and available only with a reporting lag; ADW-067 provides system-wide demand confirmation in near-real-time via the public TSA feed, enabling more confident capacity decisions ahead of schedule-publication deadlines.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
Gauge US air-travel recovery momentum vs the prior-year baseline; descriptive, not a booking-demand forecast.
Methodology

How it's built

30d trailing mean / 365d trailing baseline mean → linear map [0.5..1.25] → 0-100

TSA Passenger Volumes (tsa.gov, keyless)

Version ADW-067-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: none packaged