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Travel/Transport · Index Paid

Air-Travel Recovery Index

How recovered is US air travel vs its prior-year baseline?

Refresh
weekly
History
7.3 yrs
Plan
Paid
82.2/ 100
Stable

United States — air travel (TSA checkpoint)

2019-03-03 7.3 yrs · 386 pts 2026-06-27

Top drivers

current_30d_mean_travelersbaseline_365d_mean_travelersrecovery_ratio
⌁ mcp.call("adw-067") vADW-067-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

A revenue-management agent for a hospitality or airport-adjacent retail chain pulls ADW-067 weekly; when recovery_ratio sustains above 0.95 (mapped to a score above 80 — current: 82.2, 100th percentile in the 3-week backtest window, flat trend) and confidence exceeds 0.8, it automatically unlocks full dynamic-pricing mode and removes recession-era promotional discounts from the rate card, with source_lineage (TSA checkpoint volumes, tsa.gov keyless) confirming this is observed passenger throughput, not survey sentiment. The 30-day-mean-to-365-day-baseline methodology means the agent is comparing apples to apples across seasonality.

📈

For the business

An airline CFO uses ADW-067 to benchmark whether current TSA throughput — at an 82.2 score representing the 30-day mean running at or above the prior-year baseline — justifies adding back capacity removed during softer demand periods. The competitive status quo is using internal load-factor data, which is carrier-specific and available only with a reporting lag; ADW-067 provides system-wide demand confirmation in near-real-time via the public TSA feed, enabling more confident capacity decisions ahead of schedule-publication deadlines.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
Gauge US air-travel recovery momentum vs the prior-year baseline; descriptive, not a booking-demand forecast.
Methodology

How it's built

30d trailing mean / 365d trailing baseline mean → linear map [0.5..1.25] → 0-100

TSA Passenger Volumes (tsa.gov, keyless)

Version ADW-067-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: none packaged

Live response

The object an agent receives

One call returns the answer with its reasoning attached — the live Intelligence Object for ADW-067.

GET /v1/intelligence/adw-067
{
  "product_id": "ADW-067",
  "entity": "United States — air travel (TSA checkpoint)",
  "score": 82.2,
  "trend": "above-baseline",
  "confidence": 0.88,
  "top_drivers": [
    {
      "factor": "current_30d_mean_travelers",
      "contribution": 2666784
    },
    {
      "factor": "baseline_365d_mean_travelers",
      "contribution": 2389317
    },
    {
      "factor": "recovery_ratio",
      "contribution": 1.116
    }
  ],
  "recommended_use": "Gauge US air-travel recovery momentum vs the prior-year baseline; descriptive, not a booking-demand forecast.",
  "methodology_version": "ADW-067-live-1.0",
  "freshness": "2026-06-27T01:00:10.301Z",
  "coverage": "US national — TSA checkpoint throughput (all airports)",
  "source_lineage": [
    "TSA Passenger Volumes (tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes) — keyless"
  ],
  "allowed_use": "informational",
  "recovery_ratio": 1.116,
  "current_30d_mean": 2666784,
  "baseline_365d_mean": 2389317,
  "latest_date": "2026-06-25",
  "latest_daily_count": 2910453,
  "validation_status": "descriptive"
}
IOM schema

The agent-callable contract

Every product conforms to the Intelligence Object Model — typed, versioned, and discoverable.

  • product_id
  • entity
  • score
  • trend
  • confidence
  • top_drivers
  • prediction_horizon
  • recommended_use
  • methodology_version
  • freshness
  • coverage
  • source_lineage
  • allowed_use
MCP tool: adw.adw_067
Access options

Consume it your way

  • Dashboard

    Read the score + drivers in the console.

  • REST API

    /v1/intelligence/adw-067

  • MCP tool

    adw.adw_067

  • Marketplace

    Discoverable by any MCP agent via the MCP registry.

  • White-label

    Embed under your own brand (Platinum).

Plan requirement

Depth scales with the plan

  • Free Sample object — current score only
  • Gold Full drivers + history + confidence
  • Platinum White-label + bulk + SLA
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Call ADW-067 in one request.