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Mining/Metals · Index Gold

Metals-Complex Stress

Is the metals complex calm or stressed?

Refresh
weekly
History
4.8 yrs
Plan
Gold
74.3/ 100
Stable

Metals complex — gold + silver (spot price)

2021-09-21 4.8 yrs · 243 pts 2026-06-27

Top drivers

gold_realized_vol_20d_pct_rankgold_momentum_5d_abs_zgold_silver_ratio_z30d
⌁ mcp.call("adw-112") vADW-112-bridge-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

A macro-hedge agent monitors ADW-112 weekly; when the gold-vol + momentum + gold/silver ratio composite score rises above 70 with a rising trend (current score 74.1, 100th percentile of its 3-day history, trend flat pending longer series), it automatically increases long gold futures exposure by half a unit and triggers an alert to review industrial-commodity exposure for margin offsets, attaching the IOM's top_drivers and source_lineage to the hedge order for post-trade review. A score below 40 — calm metals complex — releases the hedge and frees capital for risk-on allocations.

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For the business

A CFO of a mining and metals company uses ADW-112 as a monthly hedge-ratio checkpoint: a high Metals-Complex Stress score signals that gold volatility and the gold-to-silver ratio are simultaneously elevated, historically associated with flight-to-safety inflows that can distort the price relationships used in revenue hedging models. At the current reading of 74.1 the CFO has a concise, auditable signal to present to the board's risk committee justifying an extension of forward-sale hedge tenor, replacing a subjective read of multiple commodity price charts with a single scored IOM backed by named source inputs.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
Early-warning stress signal for the metals complex. Score > 60 = elevated volatility + safe-haven demand; < 40 = calm metals environment. Descriptive index, not a price forecast.
Methodology

How it's built

composite z-score 0-100

Version ADW-112-bridge-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: n/a