Metals-Complex Stress →

{
  "product_id": "ADW-112",
  "entity": "Metals complex — gold + silver (spot price)",
  "score": 74.3,
  "trend": "stress-rising",
  "confidence": 0.82,
  "top_drivers": [
    {
      "factor": "gold_realized_vol_20d_pct_rank",
      "contribution": 0.728
    },
    {
      "factor": "gold_momentum_5d_abs_z",
      "contribution": 1.15
    },
    {
      "factor": "gold_silver_ratio_z30d",
      "contribution": 2.12
    }
  ],
  "recommended_use": "Early-warning stress signal for the metals complex. Score > 60 = elevated volatility + safe-haven demand; < 40 = calm metals environment. Descriptive index, not a price forecast.",
  "methodology_version": "ADW-112-bridge-1.0",
  "freshness": "2026-06-27T00:20:11Z",
  "coverage": "Gold + Silver spot prices — 1257 date-aligned daily pairs (~5yr); alpine-data bridge",
  "source_lineage": [
    "alpine-data/metals feed — gold/silver spot price series + USGS mine production data"
  ],
  "allowed_use": "informational",
  "metals_stress_score": 74.3,
  "stress_level": "moderate",
  "gold_price_latest_usd": 4103,
  "silver_price_latest_usd": 59.605,
  "gold_silver_ratio_latest": 68.84,
  "gold_realized_vol_20d_ann": 0.3067,
  "gold_vol_percentile_rank": 0.728,
  "gold_momentum_5d_z": -1.15,
  "gold_silver_ratio_z30d": 2.12,
  "observations_used": 252,
  "validation_status": "descriptive"
}