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Logistics · Index Gold

Supply-Chain Stress

How stressed is the global supply chain?

Refresh
weekly
History
26.7 yrs
Plan
Gold
59.6/ 100
Stable

US supply chain (port, inventory, GSCPI composite)

1999-09-30 26.7 yrs · 324 pts 2026-06-27

Top drivers

gscpi_z_scoreinventory_ratio_z_scoreport_import_3mo_change_pct
⌁ mcp.call("adw-113") vADW-113-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

A procurement-monitoring agent polls ADW-113 weekly and, when the composite z-score stress index rises above 65 (indicating supply-chain conditions in the upper third of observed stress, per the GSCPI + inventory-ratio + port-momentum composite), it automatically drafts a re-order acceleration memo, flags open purchase orders for expedite review, and pins the source_lineage (GSCPI, inventory ratios, port data) alongside methodology_version to the alert — so the downstream ERP integration can cite an auditable, versioned signal rather than an analyst's ad-hoc judgment. The agent stands down when the score retreats below 50, avoiding noise from transient spikes.

📈

For the business

A VP of Supply Chain at a mid-market manufacturer tracks ADW-113's weekly score (current reading: 59.6 — moderate-to-elevated stress, at the 100th percentile of its short live history) alongside their own lead-time dashboards; when the score trends rising, they front-load safety-stock for the top-five SKUs before spot-freight rates spike, replacing a reactive posture that previously cost 8-12% premium freight surcharges per disruption event. Unlike subscribing to multiple freight-index feeds and manually normalizing GSCPI, they get a single 0-100 decision signal refreshed every week.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
Track current US supply-chain stress across logistics, inventory, and global pressure vectors. Descriptive composite; not a demand-forecast signal.
Methodology

How it's built

composite z-score 0-100

Version ADW-113-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: n/a