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Tourism · Index Paid

Travel-Demand Index

How open/safe is global travel demand?

Refresh
weekly
History
0 yrs
Plan
Paid
55.5/ 100
Stable

Global travel demand (US State Dept advisory universe)

2026-06-25 0 yrs · 3 pts 2026-06-27

Top drivers

advisory_safe_share_pctadvisory_danger_share_pctbulletin_pressure_score
⌁ mcp.call("adw-117") vADW-117-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

A hospitality-tech agent subscribed to ADW-117 checks the Travel-Demand Index each week against a threshold of 60; when the score rises above that level with a rising trend and confidence above 0.8, it automatically increases dynamic-pricing floor rates for forward inventory across integrated booking APIs and triggers upsell campaign activation. Because the IOM's source_lineage documents the State Department advisory levels and bulletin-severity composite behind the score, the agent's pricing change is inherently tied to an auditable safety-and-demand signal rather than a black-box heuristic.

📈

For the business

A Chief Revenue Officer at a hotel group uses ADW-117 (current score: 54.9, near historical midpoint) to frame quarterly demand planning conversations — a score trending higher signals they can lean into rate increases and marketing spend, while a falling score (especially if driven by elevated advisory severity in the top_drivers) triggers rapid-response inventory holds for group blocks. This replaces a manual weekly process of scanning State Department travel advisories across dozens of destination countries and attempting to weight them against booking-pace reports.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
Track global travel-demand conditions; high score = more countries open and safe for travel. Descriptive composite of State Dept advisory levels and active bulletins. Not a real-time flight-booking signal.
Methodology

How it's built

composite z-score 0-100

Version ADW-117-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: n/a

Live response

The object an agent receives

One call returns the answer with its reasoning attached — the live Intelligence Object for ADW-117.

GET /v1/intelligence/adw-117
{
  "product_id": "ADW-117",
  "entity": "Global travel demand (US State Dept advisory universe)",
  "score": 55.5,
  "trend": "deteriorating",
  "confidence": 0.82,
  "top_drivers": [
    {
      "factor": "advisory_safe_share_pct",
      "contribution": 39.1
    },
    {
      "factor": "advisory_danger_share_pct",
      "contribution": 10.2
    },
    {
      "factor": "bulletin_pressure_score",
      "contribution": 0.32
    },
    {
      "factor": "do_not_travel:Afghanistan",
      "contribution": 4
    },
    {
      "factor": "do_not_travel:Belarus",
      "contribution": 4
    }
  ],
  "recommended_use": "Track global travel-demand conditions; high score = more countries open and safe for travel. Descriptive composite of State Dept advisory levels and active bulletins. Not a real-time flight-booking signal.",
  "methodology_version": "ADW-117-live-1.0",
  "freshness": "2026-06-27T02:00:10.554Z",
  "coverage": "225 countries (US State Dept travel advisory universe)",
  "source_lineage": [
    "US State Dept Travel Advisories (travel.state.gov) via alpine-data travel feed",
    "US State Dept Travel Bulletins (travel.state.gov) via alpine-data travel feed"
  ],
  "allowed_use": "informational",
  "demand_score": 55.5,
  "countries_analyzed": 225,
  "level_1_count": 88,
  "level_2_count": 87,
  "level_3_count": 27,
  "level_4_count": 23,
  "safe_share_pct": 39.1,
  "caution_share_pct": 38.7,
  "reconsider_share_pct": 12,
  "danger_share_pct": 10.2,
  "advisory_score_raw": 0.7111,
  "bulletin_count": 30,
  "bulletin_pressure_score": 0.32,
  "demand_label": "weak",
  "feed_generated_at": "2026-06-27T00:16:23Z",
  "validation_status": "descriptive"
}
IOM schema

The agent-callable contract

Every product conforms to the Intelligence Object Model — typed, versioned, and discoverable.

  • product_id
  • entity
  • score
  • trend
  • confidence
  • top_drivers
  • prediction_horizon
  • recommended_use
  • methodology_version
  • freshness
  • coverage
  • source_lineage
  • allowed_use
MCP tool: adw.adw_117
Access options

Consume it your way

  • Dashboard

    Read the score + drivers in the console.

  • REST API

    /v1/intelligence/adw-117

  • MCP tool

    adw.adw_117

  • Marketplace

    Discoverable by any MCP agent via the MCP registry.

  • White-label

    Embed under your own brand (Platinum).

Plan requirement

Depth scales with the plan

  • Free Sample object — current score only
  • Gold Full drivers + history + confidence
  • Platinum White-label + bulk + SLA
Compare plans →

Call ADW-117 in one request.