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Health · Index Paid

Infectious-Disease Burden

How heavy is US notifiable-disease burden?

Refresh
weekly
History
3.5 yrs
Plan
Paid
19.2/ 100
Stable

United States

2022-12-31 3.5 yrs · 6 pts 2026-06-27

Top drivers

TB cases (2024)Dengue cases (2024)Malaria cases (2024)
⌁ mcp.call("adw-125") vADW-125-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

A public-health risk-routing agent integrates ADW-125 — which composites CDC NNDSS notifiable-disease case counts across a multi-disease basket with year-over-year momentum — into an insurance underwriting pipeline: when the Infectious-Disease Burden score rises above 30 (well above its current reading of 19.2 but within its observed range of 19.2-38.8), the agent automatically flags group health renewals in affected geographies for actuarial re-pricing review and attaches the IOM's source_lineage (CDC NNDSS) and top_drivers (which specific notifiable diseases are surging) to the underwriting file. The weekly refresh and methodology_version allow the agent to distinguish a seasonal disease pattern from a structurally elevated burden before the full claims cycle reveals it.

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For the business

A Chief Actuary at a regional carrier uses ADW-125 (currently at 19.2 — at its observed historical low, representing a relatively low infectious-disease burden period compared to the mean of 25.2 and peak of 38.8 during COVID-adjacent periods) to contextualize group health loss-ratio expectations heading into renewal season; a score trending up toward 35 would trigger a proactive rate-adequacy review two quarters ahead of when claims data would otherwise signal the problem. This gives the actuarial team a CDC-sourced leading indicator they previously lacked, replacing a manual process of monitoring individual CDC Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Reports across a dozen notifiable-disease categories.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
Track US notifiable infectious-disease burden. Higher score = lower burden. Descriptive composite; annual cadence. Source swap: NNDSS (x9gk-5huc) replaces removed NCHHSTP HIV endpoint.
Methodology

How it's built

composite z-score 0-100

Version ADW-125-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: n/a

Live response

The object an agent receives

One call returns the answer with its reasoning attached — the live Intelligence Object for ADW-125.

GET /v1/intelligence/adw-125
{
  "product_id": "ADW-125",
  "entity": "United States",
  "score": 19.2,
  "trend": "stable",
  "confidence": 0.84,
  "top_drivers": [
    {
      "factor": "TB cases (2024)",
      "contribution": 19807
    },
    {
      "factor": "Dengue cases (2024)",
      "contribution": 5258
    },
    {
      "factor": "Malaria cases (2024)",
      "contribution": 4055
    }
  ],
  "recommended_use": "Track US notifiable infectious-disease burden. Higher score = lower burden. Descriptive composite; annual cadence. Source swap: NNDSS (x9gk-5huc) replaces removed NCHHSTP HIV endpoint.",
  "methodology_version": "ADW-125-live-1.0",
  "freshness": "2026-06-27T02:00:14.316Z",
  "coverage": "US national (CDC NNDSS US RESIDENTS aggregate, 2024)",
  "source_lineage": [
    "CDC NNDSS Weekly Data — data.cdc.gov/resource/x9gk-5huc.json (keyless; substituted for removed NCHHSTP/8xkx-amtk)"
  ],
  "allowed_use": "informational",
  "infectious_burden_score": 19.2,
  "burden_level": "high",
  "data_year": "2024",
  "prior_year": "2023",
  "yoy_case_change_pct": -0.5,
  "tb_cases": 19807,
  "syphilis_ps_cases": 55495,
  "malaria_cases": 4055,
  "dengue_cases": 5258,
  "measles_indigenous_cases": 1478,
  "weighted_burden": 0.8076,
  "validation_status": "descriptive"
}
IOM schema

The agent-callable contract

Every product conforms to the Intelligence Object Model — typed, versioned, and discoverable.

  • product_id
  • entity
  • score
  • trend
  • confidence
  • top_drivers
  • prediction_horizon
  • recommended_use
  • methodology_version
  • freshness
  • coverage
  • source_lineage
  • allowed_use
MCP tool: adw.adw_125
Access options

Consume it your way

  • Dashboard

    Read the score + drivers in the console.

  • REST API

    /v1/intelligence/adw-125

  • MCP tool

    adw.adw_125

  • Marketplace

    Discoverable by any MCP agent via the MCP registry.

  • White-label

    Embed under your own brand (Platinum).

Plan requirement

Depth scales with the plan

  • Free Sample object — current score only
  • Gold Full drivers + history + confidence
  • Platinum White-label + bulk + SLA
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Call ADW-125 in one request.