Skip to content
AlpineDataWorks.AI
← All products
Health · Index Gold

Infectious-Disease Burden

How heavy is US notifiable-disease burden?

Refresh
weekly
History
3.5 yrs
Plan
Gold
19.2/ 100
Stable

United States

2022-12-31 3.5 yrs · 6 pts 2026-06-27

Top drivers

TB cases (2024)Dengue cases (2024)Malaria cases (2024)
⌁ mcp.call("adw-125") vADW-125-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

A public-health risk-routing agent integrates ADW-125 — which composites CDC NNDSS notifiable-disease case counts across a multi-disease basket with year-over-year momentum — into an insurance underwriting pipeline: when the Infectious-Disease Burden score rises above 30 (well above its current reading of 19.2 but within its observed range of 19.2-38.8), the agent automatically flags group health renewals in affected geographies for actuarial re-pricing review and attaches the IOM's source_lineage (CDC NNDSS) and top_drivers (which specific notifiable diseases are surging) to the underwriting file. The weekly refresh and methodology_version allow the agent to distinguish a seasonal disease pattern from a structurally elevated burden before the full claims cycle reveals it.

📈

For the business

A Chief Actuary at a regional carrier uses ADW-125 (currently at 19.2 — at its observed historical low, representing a relatively low infectious-disease burden period compared to the mean of 25.2 and peak of 38.8 during COVID-adjacent periods) to contextualize group health loss-ratio expectations heading into renewal season; a score trending up toward 35 would trigger a proactive rate-adequacy review two quarters ahead of when claims data would otherwise signal the problem. This gives the actuarial team a CDC-sourced leading indicator they previously lacked, replacing a manual process of monitoring individual CDC Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Reports across a dozen notifiable-disease categories.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
Track US notifiable infectious-disease burden. Higher score = lower burden. Descriptive composite; annual cadence. Source swap: NNDSS (x9gk-5huc) replaces removed NCHHSTP HIV endpoint.
Methodology

How it's built

composite z-score 0-100

Version ADW-125-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: n/a