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Public/Gov · Index Gold

Federal-Spending Momentum

Is federal spending accelerating?

Refresh
weekly
History
0 yrs
Plan
Gold
50.0/ 100
Stable

US

2026-06-25 0 yrs · 3 pts 2026-06-27

Top drivers

source_unavailable
⌁ mcp.call("adw-126") vADW-126-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

A government-contracting intelligence agent polls ADW-126 (Federal-Spending Momentum, weekly refresh, composite z-score of USAspending award/obligation flows) each Monday; when the score crosses above 65 and trend is 'rising,' the agent automatically filters the award pipeline for sectors where obligations are accelerating, drafts a teaming-partner alert, and flags relevant open solicitations for analyst review. The source_lineage pointing to USAspending.gov and a pinned methodology_version mean the agent can cite the exact weekly obligation snapshot behind any alert, satisfying FAR audit trail requirements. Current score sits at 50 (flat trend), so no false-positive sprint is triggered — the agent only fires on genuine inflection, not noise.

📈

For the business

A federal business-development VP at a mid-tier defense contractor uses ADW-126 to time proposal pipeline investments: when the score is flat or falling (as it is today at the 100th percentile of a two-point history), the team holds headcount for proposal writing; when it swings sharply upward, they accelerate BD hires and partner outreach weeks before competitors notice the award volume increase in public data. The alternative — manually monitoring USAspending.gov obligation tables by agency — requires a full-time analyst and still lags the signal by weeks.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
Federal contract-award momentum (USAspending.gov). Descriptive index.
Methodology

How it's built

composite z-score 0-100

Version ADW-126-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: n/a