Skip to content
AlpineDataWorks.AI
← All products
Geophysical · Index Paid

Seismic-Risk Pulse

How seismically active is the world now?

Refresh
daily
History
9.9 yrs
Plan
Paid
78.6/ 100
Rising

Global

2016-07-17 9.9 yrs · 525 pts 2026-06-28

Top drivers

magnitude_energy_log10event_count_7dshallow_quake_fraction
⌁ mcp.call("adw-129") vADW-129-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

A supply-chain risk agent monitoring commodity extraction assets queries ADW-129 (Seismic-Risk Pulse, daily refresh, USGS M4.5+ energy + count + shallow-event share, z-scored 0–100) each morning; when the score climbs above 80 with a 'rising' trend — historically the index has reached 98.8 in its 524-point backtest (mean 78.1, stdev 9.5) — the agent cross-references the top_drivers field to identify the highest-energy shallow-focus epicenters, then automatically generates port-or-pipeline disruption alerts for any assets within 200 km. Today's score of 72.6 (33rd percentile, trend rising) places the agent in elevated-watch mode without triggering a full alert, preserving signal precision. Source_lineage to USGS makes each alert citable in an insurer's loss-event log.

📈

For the business

An underwriter at a specialty catastrophe insurance firm uses ADW-129 to dynamically price short-term parametric earthquake covers: when the daily score is in the upper quartile of its historical range (above ~87 based on the 9.5-stdev spread around a 78.1 mean), the desk applies a loading factor to new parametric structures rather than waiting for a triggered event. The alternative — monitoring USGS ATOM feeds manually — gives raw M4.5+ listings with no normalization against historical baselines, so underwriters cannot distinguish a statistically elevated period from routine background seismicity.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
Monitor global seismic hazard pulse over the trailing 7-day window. Score reflects composite energy release, event rate, and shallow-focus rupture risk. Descriptive; not a forecast of future events.
Methodology

How it's built

composite z-score 0-100

Version ADW-129-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: n/a

Live response

The object an agent receives

One call returns the answer with its reasoning attached — the live Intelligence Object for ADW-129.

GET /v1/intelligence/adw-129
{
  "product_id": "ADW-129",
  "entity": "Global",
  "score": 78.6,
  "trend": "rising",
  "confidence": 0.85,
  "top_drivers": [
    {
      "factor": "magnitude_energy_log10",
      "contribution": 11.44
    },
    {
      "factor": "event_count_7d",
      "contribution": 93
    },
    {
      "factor": "shallow_quake_fraction",
      "contribution": 0.462
    }
  ],
  "recommended_use": "Monitor global seismic hazard pulse over the trailing 7-day window. Score reflects composite energy release, event rate, and shallow-focus rupture risk. Descriptive; not a forecast of future events.",
  "methodology_version": "ADW-129-live-1.0",
  "freshness": "2026-06-27T03:00:10.572Z",
  "coverage": "Global — all USGS-catalogued earthquakes M ≥ 4.5 (2026-06-20T03:00:10 to 2026-06-27T03:00:10)",
  "source_lineage": [
    "USGS Earthquake Hazards Program — FDSN Event API (earthquake.usgs.gov/fdsnws/event/1/query, keyless)"
  ],
  "allowed_use": "informational",
  "seismic_risk_score": 78.6,
  "risk_level": "elevated",
  "event_count_7d": 93,
  "max_magnitude_7d": 7.5,
  "log10_moment_energy": 11.436,
  "energy_leg_score": 100,
  "count_leg_score": 46.5,
  "shallow_hazard_leg_score": 46.2,
  "shallow_quake_fraction": 0.462,
  "window_days": 7,
  "min_magnitude": 4.5,
  "top_events": [
    {
      "mag": 4.9,
      "depth": 55,
      "sig": 499,
      "place": "13 km SSE of Clam Gulch, Alaska"
    },
    {
      "mag": 5.1,
      "depth": 10,
      "sig": 400,
      "place": "100 km E of Kirakira, Solomon Islands"
    },
    {
      "mag": 4.7,
      "depth": 19.2,
      "sig": 340,
      "place": "159 km E of Beauséjour, Guadeloupe"
    },
    {
      "mag": 4.7,
      "depth": 10,
      "sig": 355,
      "place": "54 km N of El Limón, Venezuela"
    },
    {
      "mag": 4.6,
      "depth": 55.4,
      "sig": 326,
      "place": "3 km WNW of Nuing, Philippines"
    }
  ],
  "validation_status": "descriptive"
}
IOM schema

The agent-callable contract

Every product conforms to the Intelligence Object Model — typed, versioned, and discoverable.

  • product_id
  • entity
  • score
  • trend
  • confidence
  • top_drivers
  • prediction_horizon
  • recommended_use
  • methodology_version
  • freshness
  • coverage
  • source_lineage
  • allowed_use
MCP tool: adw.adw_129
Access options

Consume it your way

  • Dashboard

    Read the score + drivers in the console.

  • REST API

    /v1/intelligence/adw-129

  • MCP tool

    adw.adw_129

  • Marketplace

    Discoverable by any MCP agent via the MCP registry.

  • White-label

    Embed under your own brand (Platinum).

Plan requirement

Depth scales with the plan

  • Free Sample object — current score only
  • Gold Full drivers + history + confidence
  • Platinum White-label + bulk + SLA
Compare plans →

Call ADW-129 in one request.