Global
Top drivers
⌁ mcp.call("adw-129") vADW-129-live-1.0 How seismically active is the world now?
Global
Top drivers
⌁ mcp.call("adw-129") vADW-129-live-1.0 A supply-chain risk agent monitoring commodity extraction assets queries ADW-129 (Seismic-Risk Pulse, daily refresh, USGS M4.5+ energy + count + shallow-event share, z-scored 0–100) each morning; when the score climbs above 80 with a 'rising' trend — historically the index has reached 98.8 in its 524-point backtest (mean 78.1, stdev 9.5) — the agent cross-references the top_drivers field to identify the highest-energy shallow-focus epicenters, then automatically generates port-or-pipeline disruption alerts for any assets within 200 km. Today's score of 72.6 (33rd percentile, trend rising) places the agent in elevated-watch mode without triggering a full alert, preserving signal precision. Source_lineage to USGS makes each alert citable in an insurer's loss-event log.
An underwriter at a specialty catastrophe insurance firm uses ADW-129 to dynamically price short-term parametric earthquake covers: when the daily score is in the upper quartile of its historical range (above ~87 based on the 9.5-stdev spread around a 78.1 mean), the desk applies a loading factor to new parametric structures rather than waiting for a triggered event. The alternative — monitoring USGS ATOM feeds manually — gives raw M4.5+ listings with no normalization against historical baselines, so underwriters cannot distinguish a statistically elevated period from routine background seismicity.
composite z-score 0-100
Version ADW-129-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: n/a