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Events · Index Gold

Global Stability Index

How stable is the global news climate?

Refresh
daily
History
0 yrs
Plan
Gold
58.8/ 100
Stable

Global

2026-06-24 0 yrs · 2 pts 2026-06-26

Top drivers

tone_bin_+0tone_bin_-1tone_bin_-2
⌁ mcp.call("adw-131") vADW-131-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

A geopolitical-risk hedging agent polls ADW-131 (Global Stability Index, daily refresh, GDELT tone + conflict-event share where 100=perfectly stable) each trading day; when the score drops below 55 with a 'falling' trend — the current score of 58.8 (50th percentile of a two-point history) sits near neutral — the agent triggers a conditional rebalancing review that checks FX options positioning in emerging-market currencies most correlated with GDELT conflict regions identified in top_drivers. Source_lineage to the GDELT BigQuery corpus means each alert carries the specific event-tone window behind the score, enabling post-trade compliance review. Methodology_version ensures the conflict-share normalization is consistent across consecutive daily calls.

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For the business

A country-risk analyst at a multinational insurer uses ADW-131 as a daily regime-change early-warning signal: a score persistently below 55 for five consecutive days triggers an internal escalation to review political-risk cover limits for affected regions, replacing the current practice of manually scanning Reuters and AP wire summaries each morning. The GDELT-derived composite fuses thousands of news events across hundreds of countries into one normalized number, compressing what would otherwise be a two-hour analyst task into a single API call with full audit lineage.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
Track global stability via GDELT news-tone signals. Score > 65 = stable/cooperative environment; < 35 = high conflict stress. Score 100 = most stable/cooperative; 0 = extreme conflict. Descriptive composite; 7-day rolling news window, not a forecast.
Methodology

How it's built

composite z-score 0-100

Version ADW-131-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: n/a