Events · Index Paid

Global Stability Index

How stable is the global news climate?

Refresh: daily
History: 0 yrs
Plan: Paid

58.8/ 100

Stable

Global

2026-06-24 0 yrs · 2 pts 2026-06-26

Top drivers

tone_bin_+0tone_bin_-1tone_bin_-2

⌁ mcp.call("adw-131") vADW-131-live-1.0

Use cases

What it unlocks

⌁

For an agent

A geopolitical-risk hedging agent polls ADW-131 (Global Stability Index, daily refresh, GDELT tone + conflict-event share where 100=perfectly stable) each trading day; when the score drops below 55 with a 'falling' trend — the current score of 58.8 (50th percentile of a two-point history) sits near neutral — the agent triggers a conditional rebalancing review that checks FX options positioning in emerging-market currencies most correlated with GDELT conflict regions identified in top_drivers. Source_lineage to the GDELT BigQuery corpus means each alert carries the specific event-tone window behind the score, enabling post-trade compliance review. Methodology_version ensures the conflict-share normalization is consistent across consecutive daily calls.

📈

For the business

A country-risk analyst at a multinational insurer uses ADW-131 as a daily regime-change early-warning signal: a score persistently below 55 for five consecutive days triggers an internal escalation to review political-risk cover limits for affected regions, replacing the current practice of manually scanning Reuters and AP wire summaries each morning. The GDELT-derived composite fuses thousands of news events across hundreds of countries into one normalized number, compressing what would otherwise be a two-hour analyst task into a single API call with full audit lineage.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon: —
Recommended use: Track global stability via GDELT news-tone signals. Score > 65 = stable/cooperative environment; < 35 = high conflict stress. Score 100 = most stable/cooperative; 0 = extreme conflict. Descriptive composite; 7-day rolling news window, not a forecast.

Methodology

How it's built

composite z-score 0-100

Version ADW-131-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: n/a

Live response

The object an agent receives

One call returns the answer with its reasoning attached — the live Intelligence Object for ADW-131.

GET /v1/intelligence/adw-131

{
  "product_id": "ADW-131",
  "entity": "Global",
  "score": 58.8,
  "trend": "tension-elevated",
  "confidence": 0.75,
  "top_drivers": [
    {
      "factor": "tone_bin_+0",
      "contribution": 0.1458
    },
    {
      "factor": "tone_bin_-1",
      "contribution": 0.1334
    },
    {
      "factor": "tone_bin_-2",
      "contribution": 0.1275
    }
  ],
  "recommended_use": "Track global stability via GDELT news-tone signals. Score > 65 = stable/cooperative environment; < 35 = high conflict stress. Score 100 = most stable/cooperative; 0 = extreme conflict. Descriptive composite; 7-day rolling news window, not a forecast.",
  "methodology_version": "ADW-131-live-1.0",
  "freshness": "2026-06-26T15:00:54.054Z",
  "coverage": "Global news (GDELT 2.0 — 7-day rolling window, all languages/regions)",
  "source_lineage": [
    "GDELT 2.0 Doc API — tonechart mode (query: geopolitical)",
    "GDELT 2.0 Doc API — tonechart mode (query: war)"
  ],
  "allowed_use": "informational",
  "global_stability_score": 58.8,
  "risk_level": "moderate",
  "weighted_mean_tone": -1.66,
  "conflict_fraction_pct": 1.34,
  "articles_analyzed_q1": 13458,
  "articles_analyzed_q2": 77607,
  "tone_leg_score": 41.7,
  "conflict_leg_score": 98.7,
  "negative_tone_bins_q1": 15,
  "positive_tone_bins_q1": 12,
  "gdelt_timespan": "7d",
  "gdelt_queries": [
    "geopolitical",
    "war"
  ],
  "validation_status": "descriptive"
}

IOM schema

The agent-callable contract

Every product conforms to the Intelligence Object Model — typed, versioned, and discoverable.

product_id
entity
score
trend
confidence
top_drivers
prediction_horizon
recommended_use
methodology_version
freshness
coverage
source_lineage
allowed_use

MCP tool: adw.adw_131

Access options

Consume it your way

Dashboard
Read the score + drivers in the console.
REST API
/v1/intelligence/adw-131
MCP tool
adw.adw_131
Marketplace
Discoverable by any MCP agent via the MCP registry.
White-label
Embed under your own brand (Platinum).

Plan requirement

Depth scales with the plan

Free Sample object — current score only
Gold Full drivers + history + confidence
Platinum White-label + bulk + SLA

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Call ADW-131 in one request.

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