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Compliance/Risk · Index Gold

FDA Drug-Recall Velocity

Is FDA Class-I drug-recall enforcement accelerating?

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weekly
History
13.7 yrs
Plan
Gold
12.5/ 100
Falling

US-Drug-Supply

2012-09-25 13.7 yrs · 719 pts 2026-06-26

Top drivers

class_I_drug_recalls_90drecent_sample_window
⌁ mcp.call("adw-219") vADW-219-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

A pharmaceutical supply-chain compliance agent pulls ADW-219 weekly; when recall_velocity_score climbs above 40 (currently reading a low 12.5) and class_I_90d shows a rising count of FDA Class-I drug recalls — the most severe category, involving life-threatening risk — the agent cross-references the source_lineage (openFDA Drug Enforcement endpoint) against the company's active-ingredient supplier database, flags any supplier overlap, and generates a draft FDA Form 483 response checklist. The 90-day trailing window in methodology_version is calibrated to precede consent-decree and import-alert timelines, giving the compliance team a 4–8 week window to audit suppliers before enforcement escalates. Acting on a recall-velocity trend rather than a single high-profile recall catches the systemic quality-system failures that precede a cluster.

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For the business

A director of regulatory affairs at a specialty pharma company uses ADW-219 to set the cadence and scope of supplier quality audits. When Class-I drug recall velocity is low (current score 12.5), routine audit schedules hold; when the velocity score rises into the 30–50 range, the director accelerates audits for API suppliers in the same therapeutic categories driving the recall spike, and briefs the CMO before the next board risk-committee meeting. This replaces a manual monthly review of FDA MedWatch emails that typically surfaced only the highest-profile individual recalls, missing the pattern of accelerating enforcement that presages broader industry-wide FDA actions.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
Is FDA Class-I drug-recall enforcement accelerating?
Methodology

How it's built

Count of Class-I drug recalls in trailing 90 days, scaled

openFDA Drug Enforcement

Version ADW-219-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: News search (high-profile only); velocity leads consent-decree/import-alert