50.0/ 100
Stable
Global-Trade
2026-06-25 0 yrs · 2 pts 2026-06-26
Top drivers
source_unavailable
⌁ mcp.call("adw-238") vADW-238-live-1.0 ← All products
International/Trade · signal Gold
GDELT Conflict-to-Trade Disruption Signal
Is global trade-disruption news (tariffs/sanctions/export bans) escalating?
- Refresh
- hourly
- History
- 0 yrs
- Plan
- Gold
Use cases
What it unlocks
⌁
For an agent
A supply-chain routing agent consumes ADW-238 hourly and, when the disruption_score rises above 65 (meaning the recent 3-day global news volume on tariffs, sanctions, and export-ban queries exceeds the 30-day baseline by a significant ratio), automatically pauses new purchase-order commitments to affected origin regions and notifies the procurement system to evaluate alternative sourcing lanes. The agent validates methodology_version before acting — confirming it is reading the current recent-vs-baseline-ratio formula and not a legacy window — ensuring the trigger logic is consistent across automated decisions. This cuts the detection lag from the 4–6 week delay in PMI export-order surveys to same-day GDELT signal.
📈
For the business
A supply-chain VP at a consumer electronics manufacturer uses the disruption_score and recent_vs_baseline_ratio from ADW-238 to decide whether to accelerate inbound inventory builds or hold position, integrating the signal into weekly S&OP reviews. The GDELT-based real-time news corpus captures emerging tariff and sanctions rhetoric before it appears in official trade statistics or PMI releases, giving the supply-chain team a 2–4 week head start on decisions that can cost millions in expedited freight or excess inventory if made late.
Forward outlook
Prediction
- Horizon
- —
- Recommended use
- Is global trade-disruption news (tariffs/sanctions/export bans) escalating?
Methodology
How it's built
Recent-3d vs 30d global news volume on trade-disruption query
GDELT 2.0 DOC API
Version ADW-238-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: PMI export-orders (lagged survey); GDELT is real-time
Live response
The object an agent receives
One call returns the answer with its reasoning attached — the live Intelligence Object for ADW-238.
GET /v1/intelligence/adw-238
{
"product_id": "ADW-238",
"entity": "Global-Trade",
"score": 50,
"trend": "unknown",
"confidence": 0.2,
"top_drivers": [
{
"factor": "source_unavailable",
"contribution": 1
}
],
"methodology_version": "ADW-238-live-1.0",
"freshness": "2026-06-26T21:00:29.738Z",
"coverage": "api.gdeltproject.org/api/v2/doc (keyless)",
"source_lineage": [
"api.gdeltproject.org/api/v2/doc (keyless)"
],
"allowed_use": "informational",
"caveat": "Error: HTTP 429 for https://api.gdeltproject.org/api/v2/doc/doc?query=(tariff%20OR%20sanctions%20OR%20%22trade%20war%22%20OR%20export%20ban)&mode=timelinevol&format=json×pan=30d",
"validation_status": "descriptive"
} IOM schema
The agent-callable contract
Every product conforms to the Intelligence Object Model — typed, versioned, and discoverable.
- product_id
- entity
- score
- trend
- confidence
- top_drivers
- prediction_horizon
- recommended_use
- methodology_version
- freshness
- coverage
- source_lineage
- allowed_use
MCP tool: adw.adw_238
Access options
Consume it your way
-
Dashboard
Read the score + drivers in the console.
-
REST API
/v1/intelligence/adw-238
-
MCP tool
adw.adw_238
-
Marketplace
Discoverable by any MCP agent via the MCP registry.
-
White-label
Embed under your own brand (Platinum).
Plan requirement
Depth scales with the plan
- Free Sample object — current score only
- Gold Full drivers + history + confidence
- Platinum White-label + bulk + SLA