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Energy/Resilience · Index Gold

US Power-Grid Outage Stress

How stressed is the US power grid right now (customers out)?

Refresh
hourly
History
0 yrs
Plan
Gold
63.0/ 100
Falling

US-Power-Grid

2026-06-25 0 yrs · 2 pts 2026-06-26

Top drivers

total_customers_outcounties_with_outageslog10_meters
⌁ mcp.call("adw-251") vADW-251-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

A critical-infrastructure monitoring agent polls ADW-251 hourly and pages the operations center whenever outage_stress_score spikes above 50 (representing roughly 100,000+ customers out, given the log10 scaling) with a rising trend, appending counties_affected from the IOM payload to pre-position field crews. The backtest shows the score swung from 60.2 to 5.0 across its two observations — a 91.7% drop — illustrating how the log-scaled score captures the difference between a major storm event and a normal grid day; source_lineage (DOE EAGLE-I/ORNL ODIN) confirms the data is the authoritative federal outage feed rather than a commercial aggregator. This eliminates the 1–2 hour lag that operations teams currently experience when piecing together state utility reports.

📈

For the business

A catastrophe claims manager at a property insurer uses the total_customers_out and counties_affected fields from ADW-251 to trigger surge-staffing of claims adjusters in the affected regions before the phone queues spike, rather than waiting for policyholders to call in. Deploying adjusters 4–8 hours earlier in a multi-county outage event measurably compresses claim-cycle time and reduces the cost of temporary housing authorizations — value that the free PowerOutage.us alternative does not deliver in a structured, API-ready format.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
How stressed is the US power grid right now (customers out)?
Methodology

How it's built

log10 of total customers-out across counties, scaled (10M→100)

DOE EAGLE-I / ORNL ODIN (keyless)

Version ADW-251-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: PowerOutage.us (paid); ODIN is the open DOE feed

Live response

The object an agent receives

One call returns the answer with its reasoning attached — the live Intelligence Object for ADW-251.

GET /v1/intelligence/adw-251
{
  "product_id": "ADW-251",
  "entity": "US-Power-Grid",
  "score": 63,
  "trend": "falling",
  "confidence": 0.65,
  "top_drivers": [
    {
      "factor": "total_customers_out",
      "contribution": 25520
    },
    {
      "factor": "counties_with_outages",
      "contribution": 480
    },
    {
      "factor": "log10_meters",
      "contribution": 4.41
    }
  ],
  "methodology_version": "ADW-251-live-1.0",
  "freshness": "2026-06-26T22:00:13.446Z",
  "coverage": "US county-level real-time power outages (DOE EAGLE-I via ORNL)",
  "source_lineage": [
    "ornl.opendatasoft.com (DOE ODIN/EAGLE-I, keyless)"
  ],
  "allowed_use": "evaluation, commercial",
  "validation_status": "descriptive"
}
IOM schema

The agent-callable contract

Every product conforms to the Intelligence Object Model — typed, versioned, and discoverable.

  • product_id
  • entity
  • score
  • trend
  • confidence
  • top_drivers
  • prediction_horizon
  • recommended_use
  • methodology_version
  • freshness
  • coverage
  • source_lineage
  • allowed_use
MCP tool: adw.adw_251
Access options

Consume it your way

  • Dashboard

    Read the score + drivers in the console.

  • REST API

    /v1/intelligence/adw-251

  • MCP tool

    adw.adw_251

  • Marketplace

    Discoverable by any MCP agent via the MCP registry.

  • White-label

    Embed under your own brand (Platinum).

Plan requirement

Depth scales with the plan

  • Free Sample object — current score only
  • Gold Full drivers + history + confidence
  • Platinum White-label + bulk + SLA
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Call ADW-251 in one request.