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Climate/Risk · Index Gold

US Severe-Weather Hazard Load

How heavy is the current US severe-weather alert load?

Refresh
hourly
History
0 yrs
Plan
Gold
29.5/ 100
Stable

US-Weather-Hazards

2026-06-25 0 yrs · 2 pts 2026-06-26

Top drivers

active_alertsextreme_alertssevere_alerts
⌁ mcp.call("adw-252") vADW-252-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

A logistics dispatch agent consumes ADW-252 hourly and automatically re-routes long-haul truck dispatches away from corridors covered by Extreme or Severe NWS alerts (weight ≥3 in the severity-weighted score) when hazard_load_score exceeds 60, logging the methodology_version so the routing decision is traceable in the fleet management audit trail. The backtest shows hazard load has ranged from 18.8 to 41.8, with a mean of 30.3 — a current reading of 18.8 signals below-average load, while a spike to 60+ would represent a statistically elevated event warranting automated re-routing. Source_lineage (NWS api.weather.gov active alerts) confirms the agent is acting on the same authoritative feed FEMA uses, not a third-party aggregation.

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For the business

A regional VP of operations at a grocery distribution network uses the extreme_alerts and severe_alerts counts from ADW-252 to decide whether to pre-position perishable buffer stock at distribution centers in the alert footprint before a major weather event, a decision that previously depended on individual store managers monitoring local weather apps inconsistently. The severity-weighted composite converts the NWS raw alert volume into a single prioritization score, allowing the VP to act on a documented threshold rather than subjective judgment — improving both the consistency and the defensibility of pre-storm inventory decisions.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
How heavy is the current US severe-weather alert load?
Methodology

How it's built

Severity-weighted (Extreme4/Severe3/Moderate2/Minor1) active-alert sum, scaled

NWS api.weather.gov alerts

Version ADW-252-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: Weather-channel feeds (consumer); NWS is the authoritative open source