US-Retail
Top drivers
⌁ mcp.call("adw-256") vADW-256-live-1.0 Is US consumer retail spending accelerating?
US-Retail
Top drivers
⌁ mcp.call("adw-256") vADW-256-live-1.0 A consumer-demand forecasting agent polls ADW-256 (US Retail-Sales Momentum, sourced from FRED RSAFS) after each monthly Census release. When the momentum_score crosses above 75 — currently at 76.3, the 80th percentile of its 10-year range — and trend is confirmed 'rising', the agent automatically increases inventory replenishment orders and raises revenue-guidance inputs for the next quarter. The source_lineage field (FRED/Census) and methodology_version ensure the agent is acting on a normalized deviation-from-trailing-mean signal rather than a raw seasonal print, making automated position changes auditable.
A retail CFO preparing monthly board forecasts historically had to manually contextualize each Census retail-sales headline against seasonal norms and recent trend — a process taking hours of analyst time. ADW-256 delivers a single 0-100 momentum score (currently 76.3, 80th percentile historically) with trend direction, letting the CFO immediately see that consumer spending is running meaningfully above its own trailing baseline, not just a one-month beat — providing a cleaner basis for comp guidance than the raw YoY print alone.
recent vs trailing-mean % deviation, scaled (FRED RSAFS)
Version ADW-256-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: single headline print; this normalizes to momentum