US-Industry
Top drivers
⌁ mcp.call("adw-257") vADW-257-live-1.0 Is US industrial output accelerating?
US-Industry
Top drivers
⌁ mcp.call("adw-257") vADW-257-live-1.0 A manufacturing-sector investment research agent monitors ADW-257 (US Industrial-Production Momentum, FRED INDPRO) weekly. When momentum_score rises above 55 with a confirmed 'rising' trend — currently at 55.6 (63rd percentile), up from a decade-low near 0 — the agent flags industrial equities for overweight and triggers a sector-rotation memo to the portfolio management system, citing the deviation_pct and source_lineage to satisfy compliance audit requirements. The methodology_version guarantees the normalization window is consistent across runs, preventing false signals from index rebasing.
A supply-chain lead at a mid-size manufacturer uses ADW-257 to decide when to accelerate capital expenditure on production capacity. Rather than waiting for two consecutive strong INDPRO prints (which arrive with a 6-week lag) the score's current reading of 55.6 at the 63rd percentile of its historical range — and rising — gives an earlier, normalized signal that overall industrial output is regaining momentum, justifying a capex decision weeks ahead of when the raw series would confirm the trend.
recent vs trailing-mean % deviation, scaled (FRED INDPRO)
Version ADW-257-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: single headline print; this normalizes to momentum
One call returns the answer with its reasoning attached — the live Intelligence Object for ADW-257.
{
"product_id": "ADW-257",
"entity": "US-Industry",
"score": 55.6,
"trend": "rising",
"confidence": 0.6,
"top_drivers": [
{
"factor": "recent_value",
"contribution": 102.26
},
{
"factor": "trailing_mean",
"contribution": 101.69
},
{
"factor": "deviation_pct",
"contribution": 0.0056
}
],
"methodology_version": "ADW-257-live-1.0",
"freshness": "2026-06-26T22:00:28.413Z",
"coverage": "US industrial production index (FRED, monthly)",
"source_lineage": [
"api.stlouisfed.org/fred (INDPRO)"
],
"allowed_use": "evaluation, commercial",
"competitor_benchmark": "ISM PMI (survey); this is hard-data momentum",
"validation_status": "descriptive"
} Every product conforms to the Intelligence Object Model — typed, versioned, and discoverable.
Dashboard
Read the score + drivers in the console.
REST API
/v1/intelligence/adw-257
MCP tool
adw.adw_257
Marketplace
Discoverable by any MCP agent via the MCP registry.
White-label
Embed under your own brand (Platinum).
Is US business capex (durable-goods orders) accelerating?
Method: recent vs trailing-mean % deviation, scaled (FRED DGORDER)
Is US infrastructure investment accelerating or contracting relative to trend?
Method: 0.5*total + 0.5*public; sub=clamp(50+YoY%*2.0+3m-mom%*1.5,0,100)