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Industry/Output · Index Gold

US Industrial-Production Momentum

Is US industrial output accelerating?

Refresh
monthly
History
10.1 yrs
Plan
Gold
55.6/ 100
Rising

US-Industry

2016-06-01 10.1 yrs · 122 pts 2026-06-26

Top drivers

recent_valuetrailing_meandeviation_pct
⌁ mcp.call("adw-257") vADW-257-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

A manufacturing-sector investment research agent monitors ADW-257 (US Industrial-Production Momentum, FRED INDPRO) weekly. When momentum_score rises above 55 with a confirmed 'rising' trend — currently at 55.6 (63rd percentile), up from a decade-low near 0 — the agent flags industrial equities for overweight and triggers a sector-rotation memo to the portfolio management system, citing the deviation_pct and source_lineage to satisfy compliance audit requirements. The methodology_version guarantees the normalization window is consistent across runs, preventing false signals from index rebasing.

📈

For the business

A supply-chain lead at a mid-size manufacturer uses ADW-257 to decide when to accelerate capital expenditure on production capacity. Rather than waiting for two consecutive strong INDPRO prints (which arrive with a 6-week lag) the score's current reading of 55.6 at the 63rd percentile of its historical range — and rising — gives an earlier, normalized signal that overall industrial output is regaining momentum, justifying a capex decision weeks ahead of when the raw series would confirm the trend.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
Is US industrial output accelerating?
Methodology

How it's built

recent vs trailing-mean % deviation, scaled (FRED INDPRO)

FRED (St. Louis Fed)

Version ADW-257-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: single headline print; this normalizes to momentum