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Consumer/Sentiment · Index Gold

US Consumer-Sentiment Level

Is US consumer sentiment improving or deteriorating?

Refresh
monthly
History
10.2 yrs
Plan
Gold
0.0/ 100
Falling

US-Consumer

2016-05-01 10.2 yrs · 122 pts 2026-06-26

Top drivers

recent_valuetrailing_meandeviation_pct
⌁ mcp.call("adw-258") vADW-258-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

A demand-planning agent for a discretionary goods platform queries ADW-258 (US Consumer-Sentiment Level, FRED UMCSENT) each month. When the momentum_score drops below 20 — currently 15.7, at the 31st percentile and falling — the agent automatically tightens promotional budget authorizations and reroutes ad spend from awareness campaigns toward conversion-focused channels, pausing any planned price increases. The IOM's confidence field and source_lineage (FRED/UMich) allow downstream risk systems to verify the data provenance before executing budget reallocations.

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For the business

A CMO at a consumer durables brand uses ADW-258 to time product launch windows. A raw UMich sentiment score requires manual benchmarking against historical ranges; ADW-258's current reading of 15.7 (31st percentile, falling trend) immediately communicates that sentiment is in the lower third of its decade range and still deteriorating — a clear signal to delay a premium-tier launch rather than push it into a headwind, saving potentially millions in wasted launch spend.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
Is US consumer sentiment improving or deteriorating?
Methodology

How it's built

recent vs trailing-mean % deviation, scaled (FRED UMCSENT)

FRED (St. Louis Fed)

Version ADW-258-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: single headline print; this normalizes to momentum