51.6/ 100
Stable
US-Employment
2016-06-01 10.1 yrs · 122 pts 2026-06-26
Top drivers
recent_valuetrailing_meandeviation_pct
⌁ mcp.call("adw-260") vADW-260-live-1.0 ← All products
Macro/Labor · Index Gold
US Nonfarm-Payrolls Momentum
Is US job creation accelerating or slowing?
- Refresh
- monthly
- History
- 10.1 yrs
- Plan
- Gold
Use cases
What it unlocks
⌁
For an agent
A macroeconomic scenario agent that feeds GDP forecast models polls ADW-260 (US Nonfarm-Payrolls Momentum, FRED PAYEMS) monthly. When the momentum_score falls below 55 and trend turns 'falling' — currently 51.6 at the 17th percentile, with a falling trend — the agent downgrades the near-term consumption growth assumption in its model by one tier and notifies the modeling team via a structured IOM payload that includes deviation_pct and source_lineage, enabling a fully traceable assumption change. The methodology_version field prevents stale normalization windows from corrupting multi-run comparisons.
📈
For the business
A macroeconomic strategist at an asset manager uses ADW-260 to quickly assess whether headline payroll beats are genuine acceleration or mean-reversion. The current score of 51.6 at just the 17th percentile reveals that even as absolute job counts remain high, the pace of growth has decelerated well below its own trailing norm — a nuance the raw NFP number obscures and one that directly informs duration positioning in fixed-income portfolios.
Forward outlook
Prediction
- Horizon
- —
- Recommended use
- Is US job creation accelerating or slowing?
Methodology
How it's built
recent vs trailing-mean % deviation, scaled (FRED PAYEMS)
FRED (St. Louis Fed)
Version ADW-260-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: single headline print; this normalizes to momentum
Live response
The object an agent receives
One call returns the answer with its reasoning attached — the live Intelligence Object for ADW-260.
GET /v1/intelligence/adw-260
{
"product_id": "ADW-260",
"entity": "US-Employment",
"score": 51.6,
"trend": "stable",
"confidence": 0.6,
"top_drivers": [
{
"factor": "recent_value",
"contribution": 158826.67
},
{
"factor": "trailing_mean",
"contribution": 158569.75
},
{
"factor": "deviation_pct",
"contribution": 0.0016
}
],
"methodology_version": "ADW-260-live-1.0",
"freshness": "2026-06-26T23:00:14.482Z",
"coverage": "US nonfarm payrolls (FRED, monthly)",
"source_lineage": [
"api.stlouisfed.org/fred (PAYEMS)"
],
"allowed_use": "evaluation, commercial",
"competitor_benchmark": "Headline payroll print; this is trailing-mean momentum",
"validation_status": "descriptive"
} IOM schema
The agent-callable contract
Every product conforms to the Intelligence Object Model — typed, versioned, and discoverable.
- product_id
- entity
- score
- trend
- confidence
- top_drivers
- prediction_horizon
- recommended_use
- methodology_version
- freshness
- coverage
- source_lineage
- allowed_use
MCP tool: adw.adw_260
Access options
Consume it your way
-
Dashboard
Read the score + drivers in the console.
-
REST API
/v1/intelligence/adw-260
-
MCP tool
adw.adw_260
-
Marketplace
Discoverable by any MCP agent via the MCP registry.
-
White-label
Embed under your own brand (Platinum).
Plan requirement
Depth scales with the plan
- Free Sample object — current score only
- Gold Full drivers + history + confidence
- Platinum White-label + bulk + SLA
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