Name: US Building-Permits Momentum
Brand: AlpineDataWorks.AI
SKU: ADW-261
Availability: InStock

Use cases

What it unlocks

⌁

For an agent

A real-estate investment trust (REIT) analytics agent monitors ADW-261 (US Building-Permits Momentum, FRED PERMIT) monthly as a 6-to-12-month leading indicator of housing supply. Currently the score is 35.4 at the 27th percentile — below its long-run mean of 54.99 but trend is 'rising' — so the agent flags residential construction subsectors as approaching an inflection and queues a research task to evaluate land-acquisition pipeline. It attaches the IOM's source_lineage (FRED PERMIT/Census) and methodology_version to the research ticket so analysts can reproduce the signal without re-fetching raw data.

📈

For the business

A homebuilder's VP of Strategy uses ADW-261 to time land acquisition and subcontractor capacity reservations. Raw permit counts require manual seasonality adjustments and comparison to prior-year ranges; ADW-261's score of 35.4 (27th percentile, rising) immediately communicates that permits are recovering off a depressed base — still below normal but directionally improving — giving the team a 4-to-6-month runway to secure land before the competitive window closes.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon: —
Recommended use: Are US building permits (leading housing) accelerating?

Methodology

How it's built

recent vs trailing-mean % deviation, scaled (FRED PERMIT)

FRED (St. Louis Fed)

Version ADW-261-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: single headline print; this normalizes to momentum

Live response

The object an agent receives

One call returns the answer with its reasoning attached — the live Intelligence Object for ADW-261.

GET /v1/intelligence/adw-261

{
  "product_id": "ADW-261",
  "entity": "US-Housing-Permits",
  "score": 35.4,
  "trend": "falling",
  "confidence": 0.6,
  "top_drivers": [
    {
      "factor": "recent_value",
      "contribution": 1398.67
    },
    {
      "factor": "trailing_mean",
      "contribution": 1419.42
    },
    {
      "factor": "deviation_pct",
      "contribution": -0.0146
    }
  ],
  "methodology_version": "ADW-261-live-1.0",
  "freshness": "2026-06-26T23:00:13.694Z",
  "coverage": "US building permits, SAAR (FRED, monthly)",
  "source_lineage": [
    "api.stlouisfed.org/fred (PERMIT)"
  ],
  "allowed_use": "evaluation, commercial",
  "competitor_benchmark": "Single permit print; leading housing momentum",
  "validation_status": "descriptive"
}

IOM schema