94.4/ 100
Rising
US-Capex
2016-05-01 10.2 yrs · 122 pts 2026-06-26
Top drivers
recent_valuetrailing_meandeviation_pct
⌁ mcp.call("adw-262") vADW-262-live-1.0 ← All products
Industry/Capex · Index Gold
US Durable-Goods Orders Momentum
Is US business capex (durable-goods orders) accelerating?
- Refresh
- monthly
- History
- 10.2 yrs
- Plan
- Gold
Use cases
What it unlocks
⌁
For an agent
A capex-cycle monitoring agent serving an industrial equipment manufacturer queries ADW-262 (US Durable-Goods Orders Momentum, FRED DGORDER) monthly. With the score at 94.4 — the 85th percentile of its 10-year range and rising — the agent automatically triggers a production-capacity expansion recommendation and escalates to the sales team a signal that enterprise customers are likely entering a capex up-cycle. The IOM's source_lineage (FRED DGORDER) and confidence field satisfy the firm's internal model-governance requirement that all automated recommendations cite verifiable data provenance.
📈
For the business
A CFO at an industrial components supplier uses ADW-262 to decide whether to commit to a long-term raw-material contract. A single durable-goods print is notoriously volatile (aircraft orders can swing ±$20B); ADW-262's normalized score of 94.4 at the 85th percentile strips out that noise and signals that underlying business investment demand is running near decade-high momentum — a much stronger contract-commitment signal than any individual monthly release.
Forward outlook
Prediction
- Horizon
- —
- Recommended use
- Is US business capex (durable-goods orders) accelerating?
Methodology
How it's built
recent vs trailing-mean % deviation, scaled (FRED DGORDER)
FRED (St. Louis Fed)
Version ADW-262-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: single headline print; this normalizes to momentum
Live response
The object an agent receives
One call returns the answer with its reasoning attached — the live Intelligence Object for ADW-262.
GET /v1/intelligence/adw-262
{
"product_id": "ADW-262",
"entity": "US-Capex",
"score": 94.4,
"trend": "rising",
"confidence": 0.6,
"top_drivers": [
{
"factor": "recent_value",
"contribution": 333384.33
},
{
"factor": "trailing_mean",
"contribution": 319221.33
},
{
"factor": "deviation_pct",
"contribution": 0.0444
}
],
"methodology_version": "ADW-262-live-1.0",
"freshness": "2026-06-26T23:00:14.337Z",
"coverage": "US durable-goods orders (FRED, monthly)",
"source_lineage": [
"api.stlouisfed.org/fred (DGORDER)"
],
"allowed_use": "evaluation, commercial",
"competitor_benchmark": "Headline durable-goods print; capex momentum",
"validation_status": "descriptive"
} IOM schema
The agent-callable contract
Every product conforms to the Intelligence Object Model — typed, versioned, and discoverable.
- product_id
- entity
- score
- trend
- confidence
- top_drivers
- prediction_horizon
- recommended_use
- methodology_version
- freshness
- coverage
- source_lineage
- allowed_use
MCP tool: adw.adw_262
Access options
Consume it your way
-
Dashboard
Read the score + drivers in the console.
-
REST API
/v1/intelligence/adw-262
-
MCP tool
adw.adw_262
-
Marketplace
Discoverable by any MCP agent via the MCP registry.
-
White-label
Embed under your own brand (Platinum).
Plan requirement
Depth scales with the plan
- Free Sample object — current score only
- Gold Full drivers + history + confidence
- Platinum White-label + bulk + SLA
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