Policy Volatility Index →

{
  "product_id": "ADW-310",
  "entity": "US",
  "score": 56.9,
  "trend": "accelerating",
  "confidence": 0.8,
  "top_drivers": [
    {
      "factor": "final_rule_30d_vs_90d_baseline_pct",
      "contribution": 24.1
    },
    {
      "factor": "proposed_rule_surge_pct",
      "contribution": -9.9
    },
    {
      "factor": "final_rules_published_30d",
      "contribution": 338
    },
    {
      "factor": "proposed_rules_published_30d",
      "contribution": 145
    }
  ],
  "recommended_use": "Gauge near-term regulatory churn: scores >60 signal elevated compliance risk / rulemaking acceleration; <40 = quiet period. Suitable for macro risk overlays, compliance-cost modeling, and government-sector revenue forecasting. Not a trade signal.",
  "methodology_version": "ADW-310-live-1.0",
  "freshness": "2026-06-27T03:00:11.517Z",
  "coverage": "All US federal agencies publishing in the Federal Register — Final Rules and Proposed Rules",
  "source_lineage": [
    "federalregister.gov /api/v1/documents.json (keyless)"
  ],
  "allowed_use": "informational",
  "validation_status": "descriptive",
  "final_rules_30d": 338,
  "proposed_rules_30d": 145,
  "final_rules_90d_baseline": 817,
  "proposed_rules_90d_baseline": 483,
  "final_rule_daily_rate_30d": 11.267,
  "final_rule_daily_rate_90d": 9.078,
  "final_rule_momentum_pct": 24.1,
  "proposed_rule_surge_pct": -9.9,
  "weighted_velocity_ratio": 1.139,
  "windows": {
    "recent_start": "2026-05-28",
    "recent_end": "2026-06-27",
    "baseline_start": "2026-03-29",
    "baseline_end": "2026-06-27"
  },
  "methodology_note": "score = clamp(0-100, (rule_rate_ratio×0.70 + pr_rate_ratio×0.30) × 50). rate_ratio = (30d_daily_pace / 90d_daily_pace). Baseline=50 at normal pace. Excludes NOTICE type (informational, low enforcement weight). 90d trailing window overlaps with 30d recent — baseline intentionally includes recent to stay anchored."
}