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Government/Regulatory · Index Gold

Policy Volatility Index

Is US federal rulemaking accelerating or decelerating right now?

Refresh
daily
History
9.9 yrs
Plan
Gold
56.9/ 100
Stable

US

2016-07-31 9.9 yrs · 122 pts 2026-06-27

Top drivers

final_rule_30d_vs_90d_baseline_pctproposed_rule_surge_pctfinal_rules_published_30d
⌁ mcp.call("adw-310") vADW-310-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

A regulatory-risk monitoring agent integrated into a compliance platform polls ADW-310 (Policy Volatility Index, Federal Register rule-rate) daily. With the score at 59.1 — the 93rd percentile of its 10-year history and rising — and methodology based on a 30-day vs rolling-90-day federal rule-publication ratio (final rules weighted higher than proposed), the agent automatically triggers a compliance-review sprint, prioritizing any in-flight product features that touch regulated categories. The IOM's source_lineage (Federal Register API) and methodology_version field confirm the signal is based on actual published rule counts, not news proxies, satisfying the firm's internal model-validation standard.

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For the business

A General Counsel at a financial services firm uses ADW-310 to decide when to accelerate outside-counsel retainer capacity. The current score of 59.1 at the 93rd percentile — the highest reading in a decade — quantifies that federal rulemaking activity is running near record pace relative to its own baseline, providing a defensible, data-backed justification to the board for increased legal spend before regulatory exposure materializes, rather than reacting after a rule lands.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
Gauge near-term regulatory churn: scores >60 signal elevated compliance risk / rulemaking acceleration; <40 = quiet period. Suitable for macro risk overlays, compliance-cost modeling, and government-sector revenue forecasting. Not a trade signal.
Methodology

How it's built

rule-rate ratio (30d vs rolling-90d daily pace), final/proposed weighted -> 0-100

Version ADW-310-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: RegData (proprietary); Compliance.ai (paid)