US
Top drivers
⌁ mcp.call("adw-314") vADW-314-live-1.0 Is US infrastructure investment accelerating or contracting relative to trend?
US
Top drivers
⌁ mcp.call("adw-314") vADW-314-live-1.0 A construction-sector investment research agent polls ADW-314 monthly and, when the score drops below 50 on a falling trend (current: 54.2, 17th percentile, down 18.3% from the 2016 start and falling), it automatically downweights infrastructure-linked equity positions in a model portfolio and appends the top_drivers field—which separates total-construction momentum from public-spend momentum—to a research note explaining whether private or government spending is the drag. Source_lineage back to Census VIP via the FRED mirror means the agent can cite the primary government data release rather than a derived vendor estimate, satisfying compliance requirements for investment rationale.
A VP of Corporate Strategy at a building-materials company uses ADW-314 to track whether the IIJA (Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act) spending is actually showing up in construction-put-in-place figures or is still stuck in project-approval pipelines. The current 17th-percentile reading—the lowest in a decade of backtest history—tells the leadership team that velocity is contracting even against a moderate baseline, supporting a decision to defer capacity expansion capex rather than commit to a new production facility ahead of demand materializing.
0.5*total + 0.5*public; sub=clamp(50+YoY%*2.0+3m-mom%*1.5,0,100)
Version ADW-314-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: Dodge Construction (paid); ENR (paid)