Skip to content
AlpineDataWorks.AI
← All products
Transport/Regulatory · Index Gold

US Freight Regulatory Risk Index

Is US freight activity elevated vs baseline (carrier utilization / regulatory demand)?

Refresh
monthly
History
26.2 yrs
Plan
Gold
85.6/ 100
Rising

US

2000-05-01 26.2 yrs · 316 pts 2026-06-27

Top drivers

tsi_freight_recent_avgtsi_freight_vs_baseline_ztruck_tonnage_recent_avg
⌁ mcp.call("adw-335") vADW-335-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

A freight-logistics pricing agent checks ADW-335 monthly and, when the score rises above 80 on a rising trend (current: 85.6, 96th percentile of its 315-observation backtest—up 328% from the year-2000 baseline), it automatically increases dynamic surcharge rates on spot load boards by a calibrated percentage and routes a capacity-alert to regional dispatch, using the top_drivers field to determine whether to prioritize over-the-road (ATA tonnage leg) or border-crossing (cross-border truck leg) capacity. The source_lineage to BTS Transportation Services Index and ATA data lets the agent explain rate adjustments to shippers with citable government authority rather than proprietary black-box logic.

📈

For the business

A supply-chain director at a retailer with high freight spend uses ADW-335 to time contract renegotiations with carriers: a score at the 96th percentile signals the market is near peak carrier utilization, meaning locking in a multi-quarter contract now—before spot rates spike further—avoids paying the premium a tighter market will demand. Historically, the index ranged from 0 to 93.2 across 25 years of data; the current reading of 85.6 is among the most elevated ever recorded, giving the supply-chain team a defensible quantitative basis to escalate the contracting decision to the CFO rather than relying on anecdotal trucker conversations.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
Monitor freight-sector regulatory exposure; proxy for carrier utilisation pressure, HOS compliance costs, and cross-border trade-dependent regulatory demand. Descriptive index — not a rate or capacity forecast.
Methodology

How it's built

recent-3mo vs trailing baseline z-score, weighted 45/35/20 -> 0-100

Version ADW-335-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: FreightWaves SONAR; DAT load-to-truck; ATA tonnage