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Financial/FX · Index Gold

Dollar-Strength Index

Is the US dollar strengthening or weakening vs its historical range?

Refresh
monthly
History
9.9 yrs
Plan
Gold
64.7/ 100
Stable

US Dollar (broad trade-weighted)

2016-07-29 9.9 yrs · 123 pts 2026-06-26

Top drivers

dollar_level_zdollar_momentum_zmom_30d_pct
⌁ mcp.call("adw-055") vADW-055-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

An international procurement agent monitors ADW-055 on a monthly cadence; when dollar_strength_score rises above 70 (current: 64.7, 89th percentile over a backtest range of 25.8–75.7) with a confirmed rising trend, it automatically triggers a request to the FX hedging workflow to extend hedge tenors on EUR and JPY payables, citing source_lineage (FRED DTWEXBGS broad trade-weighted index) and methodology_version in the hedge memo. The composite z-score of both level (60% weight) and 30-day momentum (40% weight) means the agent is not reacting to a single-day spike but to a sustained directional shift.

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For the business

A CFO of a US-headquartered multinational uses ADW-055 — currently at the 89th percentile of a 10-year history with a rising trend — to time repatriation of overseas earnings. A score above 85 historically marks periods where delaying repatriation by one quarter costs meaningful FX translation losses; at 64.7 and rising, the treasurer can begin staging repatriation now rather than waiting for the DXY headline (which uses a narrower 6-currency basket and provides no momentum signal) to confirm what ADW-055 already shows.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
Track USD strength for FX exposure, emerging-market risk, and commodity pricing sensitivity. Descriptive; daily data.
Methodology

How it's built

z_level (0.6) + z_momentum_30d (0.4) vs trailing 130/rolling window → composite z → 0-100 (50=neutral, >50=strong USD)

FRED (DTWEXBGS)

Version ADW-055-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: DXY index (narrow basket); Bloomberg BBDXY