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Financial/Liquidity · Index Gold

Global Liquidity Stress Index

What is the current global liquidity stress level — tightening or easing?

Refresh
weekly
History
10 yrs
Plan
Gold
47.9/ 100
Stable

Global

2016-06-24 10 yrs · 524 pts 2026-06-27

Top drivers

composite_z_stressnfci_latestnfci_z_stress
⌁ mcp.call("adw-347") vADW-347-live-1.0
Use cases

What it unlocks

For an agent

A credit-risk monitoring agent polls ADW-347 weekly and, when the composite z-score pushes the score above 65 on a rising trend (backtest range: 15.7–98.5 over 523 weekly observations; current: 48.0 at the 25th percentile and falling), it automatically tightens counterparty credit limits by a rule-based percentage and flags any commercial paper or short-duration fixed-income positions for liquidity review. The IOM's source_lineage—Chicago Fed NFCI (60%), Fed balance sheet WALCL (25%), and ON reverse-repo RRP (15%)—lets compliance verify that the trigger reflects publicly available Federal Reserve data rather than a proprietary model no regulator can inspect.

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For the business

A bank treasury desk uses ADW-347 to time intraday reserve positioning decisions: the current score of 48.0 (25th percentile, falling) signals easing conditions, which informs the desk's decision to stay slightly under-reserved and deploy excess liquidity into short-duration instruments rather than parking it at the Fed. Compared to subscribing to Goldman or Bloomberg's proprietary Financial Conditions Indices—which cost tens of thousands of dollars annually and provide quarterly rather than weekly updates—ADW-347 delivers the same composite z-score logic on a weekly cadence at a fraction of the cost, with transparent methodology.

Forward outlook

Prediction

Horizon
Recommended use
Gauge the aggregate stress level in global liquidity and financial conditions. Score > 65 = elevated stress / tightening (defensive posture; widen credit spreads, reduce duration risk, prefer USD cash). Score 45-55 = neutral baseline. Score < 35 = ample liquidity / easing (risk-on, reach-for-yield environment). Weekly cadence tracks Fed balance-sheet and money-market regime shifts in near real time.
Methodology

How it's built

composite z = .6*NFCI+.25*WALCL+.15*RRP; score=clamp(50+z*15,0,100)

Version ADW-347-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: Goldman/Bloomberg FCI (proprietary); KC Fed LFCI (quarterly)